Potential for More Scams Following New Initiatives
 
2-14-2012 - DS News

With all the buzz after the multistate settlement regarding potential relief to homeowners, the Texas Foreclosure Prevention Task Force (TFPTF) reminded consumers to be cautious of potential scams.

“It’s getting harder to identify the good guys from the bad guys,” said David Long, co-chair of the TFPTF

Long added that homeowners who are eligible for an independent foreclosure review may be contacted directly by their mortgage servicer.

Borrowers will also not know immediately if they are eligible for relief, and borrowers from Oklahoma will not be eligible for any relief under the multistate settlement, according to the National Mortgage Settlement website.

The TFPTF also said there is no cost to participate in an independent foreclosure review or the mortgage settlement process. If a homeowner is contacted by an organization charging a fee for services related to those initiatives, the national HOPE hotline is available to report potential scams at 1-888-995-HOPE

Homeowners also have the option of contacting a HUD counselor at no cost if they are facing foreclosure or have questions about the initiatives. 

Only homeowners whose primary resident was foreclosed on between January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2010 and whose loan was serviced by a participating servicer may be eligible for an independent foreclosure review.

Lawsuit Filed Against Wells Fargo and Chase for Default Service Fees   
 
2-13-2012 - DS News

Baron and Budd attorneys, led by a team in Los Angeles, filed a lawsuit on February 10, alleging that Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase charged excessive default service fees.

“Wells Fargo and Chase executives conspired to increase profits in any way they can, even if that meant deceiving homeowners who were losing out on the American dream,” said attorney Roland Tellis in a statement. “In addition to charging unnecessary and marked-up fees, the banks concealed the fees through cryptic wording.”

One of the fees charged to borrowers who pay late is the broker’s price opinion (BPO), which is used to help the lender price the property for foreclosure.

According to the suit, while federal law allows mortgage servicers to charge borrowers BPO fees, Wells Fargo and Chase marked up the charges or performed unnecessary services to make a profit, which is not permissible.

The suit also claims that the fees are disguised on statements as other charges, miscellaneous fees, or corporate advances.

While federal law allows lenders to charge these BPO fees, but they are not allowed to mark up the charges or perform unnecessary services and make a profit, which is what Wells Fargo and Chase have done, according to the suit.

The suit states that Wells Fargo and Chase combined service about 25 percent of all U.S. mortgages.

“We are currently reviewing the complaint to better understand the facts of the filing,” said a Wells Fargo spokesperson to DS News.

Chase had no comment on the lawsuit.

Senate's Housing Chairman Pushes for More Principal Writedowns
 
2-13-2012 - DS News

Sen. Robert Menendez (D-New Jersey) says the $25 billion settlement struck between federal and state officials and the nation’s five largest mortgage servicers “helps homeowners but it’s a long way from healing the grievous wounds left by the crisis.”

Those wounds have been made deeper by the continuing decline in home prices that has put millions of homeowners in the hole on their mortgage, owing far more on their loan than the home is now worth.

Menendez, who is chairman of the Senate’s housing subcommittee, has introduced a bill that he describes as “innovative,” which would encourage lenders to reduce principal for underwater borrowers with a shared-appreciation modification.

Menendez’s Preserving American Homeownership Act would establish a program through which banks would write down the principal balance of the mortgage to 95 percent of the re-assessed value of the home. This reduction would take place over a three-year period in

one-third increments per year, provided the homeowner remains current on their payments.

In exchange, the bank would receive a fixed share – not to exceed 50 percent – of the increase in the home’s value when the home is sold or later refinanced. The percentage of shared appreciation would depend on how much the bank reduces the principal. For example, if the bank reduced the principal by 20 percent, they would receive a 20 percent share of any later increase in the home price.

Homeowners would be eligible for the program no matter how far underwater they are. Homeowners who are in default or foreclosure would also be eligible, but they would be required to make timely payments on the modified mortgage going forward or the principal reduction would be retracted. Only primary residences would qualify for assistance under the program.

“When you owe more than your house is worth through no fault of your own, relief can be hard to come by,” said Sen. Menendez.

“More and more people are choosing to walk away, since they feel that’s their only viable option, which only exacerbates the problem. My bill aims to break this cycle and give homeowners the relief they are looking for by working with banks to find acceptable solutions for everyone,” Menendez added.

The number of homeowners underwater on their mortgage is currently estimated to be more than 10 million, or approximately 22 percent of all homeowners. On average, these homeowners owe anywhere from $40,000 to $65,000 more than their home is currently worth.

Banks Respond to Robo-Signing Settlement
 
2/10/2012 - DS News

While the $25 billion settlement between five of the nation’s largest servicers and 49 of the state attorneys general awaits approval from a judge, there is some relief in the industry that the 16 months of investigation and negotiation has come to a close.

“The best thing about the mortgage settlement is that it’s done,” said Stan Humphries, Zillow’s chief economist on the company’s website.

“The agreement brings closure to these issues and enables the company to move forward in our ongoing efforts to help borrowers find affordable and sustainable payment relief whenever possible,” Ally stated Thursday afternoon.

However, while federal and state officials are congratulating themselves, the settlement’s impact on the broader market remains questionable. “It will be a good thing for many individuals,” Humphries admits, but “[a]s far as helping the housing market as a whole, it’s a drop in the bucket.”

Nonetheless, Mike Heid, president of Wells Fargo Home Mortgage suggests the settlement will have some positive impact. “Today’s agreement represents a very important step toward restoring confidence in mortgage servicing and stability in the housing market,” he stated Thursday after the settlement announcement.

Wells Fargo has agreed to pay $1.01 billion to the government and $4.34 billion in borrower relief.

The bank stated Thursday that it will begin an expanded refinance program and borrower relief program at the start of March.

JPMorgan Chase will pay $1.08 billion to the government and has designated $4.21 billion in borrower aid.

In a brief statement responding to the settlement, a JPMorgan Chase spokesperson said Thursday, “We have worked very hard with the Federal Government and State Attorneys General over the past year to address a variety of challenging and complex issues to reach this settlement.”

“The settlement includes far reaching relief that will help many of our customers and complement our already extensive efforts to improve our borrower assistance efforts and servicing processes,” the spokesperson continued.

Citigroup will pay $4.15 million to the government and $1.79 billion in borrower aid.

“The monetary component of Citi’s portion of the settlement amount is to be paid in three parts: a payment in cash upon final settlement; customer relief payments; and refinancing concessions, for a total value of approximately $2.2 billion,” Citigroup stated Thursday.

Answering any concerns from investors, the bank also stated that it anticipates it has enough in reserves to cover its customer relief obligations “and all but a small portion” of its obligation to the government under the settlement. 

Like Citigroup, Ally does not expect its commitment under the settlement will harm the bank. “Ally expects that the financial impact of the agreement will not be material on financial results for the first quarter of 2012 and future periods,” Ally stated.

Ally has agreed to pay $110 million to the government and $200 million in aid to borrowers.

Bank of America will pay $3.24 billion to the government and $8.58 billion in relief to borrowers.

A portion of BofA’s government payment – $1 billion – will be paid to settle a separate claim on behalf of Countrywide for loan originations issues.

“We believe this settlement will help provide additional support for homeowners who need assistance, brings more certainty to the housing market and aligns to our ongoing commitment to help rebuild our neighborhoods and get the housing market back on track,” Dan Frahm, a BofA spokesperson stated Thursday.

Home Values Declined 1.1 Percent For Fourth Quarter  
 
2/10/2012 - DS News

Zillow forecasts home values will be on the decline through December 2012, but the decrease will be smaller than 2011.

Home values in the U.S. fell in the fourth quarter, with the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) sinking 1.1 percent after a less significant decline for the two previous quarters.

The forecast also predicts that hardest hit cities such as Los Angeles; Riverside, California, and Phoenix, will reach bottom and then stabilize or increase in value in 2012. Baltimore and Washington D.C. are also expected to reach bottom and see an increase or remain flat in 2012.

In the fourth quarter, the rate of homes foreclosed on increased slightly to 8.2 out of every 10,000 in December, compared to 8 out of every 10,000 homes in November. The rate was lower than the end of the third quarter, when it was 8.6 out of every 10,000 homes. Foreclosure re-sales made up 19.1 percent of all December sales, which is an increase from August, when 17.1 percent of all sales were foreclosure re-sales.

 
Anticipation for Market Begins at Close of Settlement   
 
2/9/2012 - DS News

While the $25 billion robo-signing settlement concludes 16 months of intense negotiations, questions still remain on how this will impact borrowers and the larger economy.

Capital Economics stated that while it is good that the settlement has been finalized and will offer principal reductions and refinancing schemes to borrowers, the bigger picture is that the settlement is not large enough to dramatically alter the outlook for the housing market or the wider economy.

Looking at the economy, $25 billion is worth 0.2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), and if the deal expands to $40 billion, that would be 0.3 percent of GDP, according to the Capital Economics report.

When assessing the housing market, the report projects little impact. While $10 billion will be set aside for principal forgiveness, close to 11 million borrowers are underwater, totaling about 700 billion in negative equity.

The settlement also doesn’t include Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac mortgages, which represents roughly half of American homeowners.

“It’s a start, but it’s a drop in the bucket.  There is still a long way for banks to go in repairing families, communities and the housing market,” said Mark Seifert, executive director of Empowering and Strengthening Ohio’s People (ESOP).

While the relief provided to homeowners is said to be immediate, ESOP questioned exactly how homeowners will be notified of the relief they can receive, especially those already in foreclosure.

“[The] devil is in the details. In our experience, the industry has never done anything voluntarily to repair the damage they wreaked over the last decade, and we have no reason to believe this settlement will be any different,” said Seifert.

In addition to the $25 billion, new servicing standards were set for the top five servicers – Bank of America,

JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Ally Financial – to address robo-signing, lost paperwork, and problematic modifications.

Some of the standards include an end to robo-signing practices and improved communication between servicers and borrowers, such as notifying customers 14 days before referring loans to a foreclosure attorney. Again, while market participants acknowledge this a direction towards recovery, impact is still in question.

“A final agreement can play an important role stabilizing and providing certainty and confidence to the housing and mortgage markets,” said David H. Stevens, President and CEO of Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).  “With all the rumors and speculation surrounding these negotiations behind us, it is now imperative that policymakers, lenders, servicers, and other stakeholders work together on policies and initiatives that will allow us to get the housing market on the road to recovery. I would caution, though, that, while a positive step, this will not be a panacea for all that ails housing.”

Oklahoma, the only state that did not sign onto the agreement, reached an independent mortgage settlement agreement with the five banks. The servicers agreed to pay Oklahoma $18.6 million.

“This settlement will provide damages to those Oklahomans who did fall victim to unfair and unlawful misconduct of mortgage servicing companies, while not exceeding the appropriate role and authority of state attorneys general,” Pruitt said.

When Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller announced in March that the settlement expanded beyond investigating fraud and unlawful practices and into the restructuring of the mortgage industry, Pruitt sent a letter to Miller, voicing strong concerns, according to a release issued by the Oklahoma attorney general’s office.

“We had concerns that what started as an effort to correct specific practices harmful to consumers, morphed into an attempt by President Obama to establish an overarching regulatory scheme, which Congress had previously rejected, to fundamentally restructure the mortgage industry in the United States,” Pruitt said. 

Another concern stated in the letter to Miller was that the terms might encourage more homeowners to default. 

When addressing the settlement, President Obama argued it would help millions of people affected by the housing market crises.

“These practices were plainly irresponsible and we refused to let them go unanswered,” Obama said at the White House. “This settlement is a start. We’re going to make sure that the banks live up to their end of the bargain.”

Foreclosures to Climb Before Bank Deal Helps U.S. Housing Market
 
2/9/2012 - Bloomberg

The $25 billion settlement with banks over foreclosure abuses may result in a wave of home seizures, inflicting short-term pain on delinquent U.S. borrowers while making a long-term housing recovery more likely.

Lenders slowed the pace of foreclosures as they negotiated with attorneys general in all 50 states for more than a year over allegations of faulty and fraudulent paperwork used to repossess homes. With yesterday’s agreement, banks are likely to resume property seizures.

“The best thing about the settlement, frankly, is that it will be done,” said Stan Humphries, chief economist for Seattle-based Zillow Inc. (Z), a provider of home-sales data. “The shadow of the settlement hung over the market for a year now.”

The backlog of foreclosures has trapped homeowners in properties they can no longer afford, depressed neighborhood prices by increasing the number of abandoned homes and led banks to tighten mortgage credit standards because of uncertainty about the cost of their potential obligations. Foreclosure starts fell 46 percent in December from October 2010, when the investigation into the so-called robo-signing of mortgage documentation began, according to Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc.

The agreement will direct $17 billion to writing down debt to buffer about 1 million homeowners from foreclosure through mortgage forgiveness, forbearance or loan modification programs, according to Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan. About 750,000 borrowers may get direct payments of as much as $2,000 to compensate them for servicing errors.

Small Borrower Universe

Principal reductions and other loan modifications will be accessible to a small universe of borrowers because the deal doesn’t include loans owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae (FNMA), Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, which pools and sells Federal Housing Administration loans. The five banks included in the settlement control or own 7.3 percent of all outstanding single-family mortgages, according to Inside Mortgage Finance.

“The primary beneficiaries of any principal reductions, loan modifications or refinancings are really a universe that excludes 92 percent of mortgage borrowers,” said Guy Cecala, publisher of the newsletter.

After a six-year slide in home prices, demand is showing signs of strengthening, bolstered by a jobless rate that fell to8.3 percent last month. The number of Americans who signed contracts to buy previously owned homes in December held near a 19-month high, indicating that stabilization in the market that began in late 2011 may continue this year.

Driving Down Prices

A surge of home seizures may drive down values, at least for a while, in a fragile market. The number of new foreclosure filings fell 34 percent last year, according to RealtyTrac, resulting in a backlog that now may flood the market with low-cost properties. About 1 million foreclosures will be completed this year, up 25 percent from 2011, according to the firm.

“All of this will result in more foreclosure pain in the short term as some of the foreclosures that should have happened last year instead happen this year,” Daren Blomquist, a RealtyTrac vice president, said in an e-mail yesterday.

About 5 million homes have been lost to foreclosure in the U.S. since 2006, according to RealtyTrac.

“I think there’ll be more price weakness, because we’ll see the number of distressed sales pick up,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester,Pennsylvania. “But I think the price declines will be modest. I think the banks themselves are going to be very sensitive to market prices. I don’t think they’re just going to dump property. That wouldn’t be in their best interest.”

Decline Since 2006

Home prices have dropped 33 percent from their July 2006 peak, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index of values in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas. About 11 million U.S. homeowners have negative equity, or owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth, according to CoreLogic Inc. (CLGX), a real estate data provider. That has limited their ability to sell or refinance and reduced the incentive to keep paying.

Principal reductions may help cut the number of mortgage delinquencies by improving borrowers’ finances and reducing incentives for so-called strategic default, when homeowners walk away from a property because they have too much negative equity, according to a Federal Reserve report sent to Congress Jan. 4.

U.S. homeowners have $750 billion in negative equity, Humphries said. The deal will help the residential market “at the margins, but little more,” according to an analysis late last month by London-based Capital Economics of the impact of the settlement on housing.

Reductions ‘Seem Small’

The money may have an added benefit: It will test the effectiveness of principal forgiveness in preventing defaults, and may spur a larger-scale program if successful, said Paul Diggle, a property economist at Capital Economics.

“There has been a lot of discussion of principal reductions and whether that’s the one measure the U.S. housing market needs to get it going again,” he said in an interview this week. “That may well be the case. But the amounts of principal reductions under the settlement seem small.”

Principal was reduced on 10,772 loans, or 7.8 percent of the mortgages with payment modifications, in the third quarter of last year, according to the office of the U.S. Comptroller of the Currency. All of those loans were held by private investors or were in bank portfolios.

The agreement announced yesterday includes $5 billion in cash for states to pay for foreclosure-prevention initiatives. Loan servicers will refinance $3 billion in mortgages to reduce homeowners’ interest rates and pay about $1.5 billion to borrowers harmed by botched foreclosures.

Debt Forgiveness

The money set aside for mortgage-debt forgiveness also can be used for short sales, when a lender agrees to a sale for less than owed on the home. Banks have been stepping up the sales by pre-approving deals, streamlining the closing process, forgoing their right to pursue unpaid debt and in some cases providing as much as $35,000 in “relocation” incentives. Short sales accounted for 33 percent of financially distressed transactions in November, up from 24 percent a year earlier, according to Santa Ana, California-based CoreLogic.

For California, which has the highest number of properties in the foreclosure pipeline, banks agreed to pay $12 billion to help 250,000 homeowners with principal reductions or short sales, according to Kamala Harris, the state’s attorney general.

Borrowers in Florida, which had the second-most foreclosures, will receive an estimated $7.6 billion in benefits from loan modifications, including principal reduction, according to state Attorney General Pam Bondi.

Citigroup, Wells Fargo

The total value of the agreement with lenders includingCitigroup Inc. (C), Bank of America Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co. may grow to $40 billion if the next nine largest mortgage servicers sign on to the agreement, Donovan said. In a best-case scenario, if all banks participate fully, the deal might be worth $45 billion to homeowners and victims of foreclosure.

The settlement adds to a series of recently expanded government steps to protect consumers and encourage lenders to refinance homes and modify payment terms for homeowners facing foreclosure.

President Barack Obama this month proposed plans to expand loan modifications for delinquent homeowners to include some principal reductions through his administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP. Underwater homeowners would be able to refinance at current low interest rates through the Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP. Some of the refinancing plans require Congressional approval.

Under the administration’s Making Home Affordable program, $29.9 billion in aid had been pledged as of Jan. 30.

Buying in Bulk

Separately, Fannie Mae, the mortgage company under U.S. conservatorship, invited investors to apply for a new program to buy foreclosed homes in bulk to be managed as rental properties, under another program announced by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The goal of that program is to reduce the inventory of foreclosures while providing rental homes to people who can’t qualify to buy or don’t want to own.

“No action, no matter how meaningful, is going to by itself entirely heal the housing market,” Obama said at an appearance with state attorneys general in Washington yesterday.“But this settlement is a start. And we’re going to make sure that the banks live up to their end of the bargain.”

Investors are likely to buy many of the foreclosed homes that come on the market to take advantage of low prices and demand for rentals, Zandi said. About 21 percent of home sales in December were investor purchases, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Manage as Rentals

Private equity funds including Los Angeles-based Oaktree Capital Management LP (OAKTRZ) and New York-based GTIS Partners announced plans in January to buy $2.5 billion of foreclosed single-family homes to manage as rentals, focusing on states with the highest number of foreclosures, such as California, Florida and Nevada.

“There’s pretty strong investor demand, particularly in some markets where prices have overshot,” Zandi said. “They’ve gone well below what you’d expect given incomes and rents.”

There remains a danger that “a wave of foreclosures” may destabilize the housing market, said Susan Wachter, professor of real estate and finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.

“The logjam has to be unleashed and it has been -- this will do that,” she said. “That’s a good thing. But then there needs to be methodical loan-by-loan determination of the best resolution.”

Robo-Signing Settlement Finalized
 
2/9/2012 - DS News

Federal and state officials announced this morning that the federal government and 49 state attorneys general – with Oklahoma as the lone exception – have reached a $25 billion agreement with the nation’s five largest mortgage servicers to address what authorities describe as “loan servicing and foreclosure abuses.”

After 16 months of investigation and negotiation, the federal-state group entered into what is the largest joint federal-state civil settlement in history.

The settlement agreement with the nation’s top five servicers – Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Ally Financial (formerly GMAC) – provides financial relief to homeowners and establishes new homeowner protections.

“This historic settlement will provide immediate relief to homeowners – forcing banks to reduce the principal balance on many loans, refinance loans for underwater borrowers, and pay billions of dollars to states and consumers,” said HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan.

The settlement, however, does not preclude the government from pursuing criminal or civil claims outside of the agreement, and borrowers and investors can still pursue individual or class action suits against the banks for robo-signing grievances, according to a statement from Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, head of the attorney general negotiating committee.

Deputy Attorney General Eric Holder also made clear that the settlement does not absolve the servicers from securitization activities – an issue of concern among several attorneys general throughout the negotiation process.

The settlement “preserves extensive claims related to mortgage securitization activities, including the claims that will be the focus of the new Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Working Group,” Holder stated Thursday.

The Breakdown:

The $25 billion will be distributed in two ways: $20 billion is designated for financial relief to borrowers, and $5 billion in cash will go directly to federal and state government agencies.

The $20 billion in financial aid to borrowers will further be broken down into three categories, according to the Department of Justice (DOJ):

• $10 billion has been designated to principal reductions for homeowners currently delinquent or “at imminent risk of default.”

• $3 billion has been earmarked for the refinancing of loans for underwater homeowners.

• $7 billion is to assist homeowners through other means such as short sales, forbearance, relocation assistance, and aid for service members who have taken losses on their homes due to relocation orders.

The government will distribute its $5 billion in two ways with $1.5 billion allocated for borrowers and $3.5 billion allocated to reimbursing “public funds lost as a result of servicer misconduct and to fund housing counselors, legal aid and other similar public programs determined by the state attorneys general,” according to the DOJ.

The $1.5 billion for borrowers will be distributed through a Borrower Payment Fund, which will offer cash assistance to homeowners whose homes were foreclosed between 2008 and 2011 and who were subject to servicer error or misconduct.

These foreclosed homeowners are estimated to receive about $2,000 after losing their homes.

The DOJ points out that this fund is not part of the independent reviews and compensation already underway at several large servicers.

New Standards:

In addition to the $25 billion, the five servicers have agreed to a new set of servicing standards.

“These new customer service standards are in keeping with the Homeowner Bill of Rights recently announced by President Obama – a single, straightforward set of commonsense rules that families can count on,” sated HUD Secreatary Shaun Donovan Thursday.

The new standards call for an end to robo-signing, proper documentation procedures for foreclosure and loss mitigation, and enhanced communication with borrowers.

Servicers have agreed to notify borrowers 14 days before referring their loan to a foreclosure attorney; adopt procedures to oversee and ensure proper conduct from all third-party providers; and discontinue dual tracking – the processing of a foreclosure while a homeowner is pursuing a loan modification or bankruptcy.

The servicers have also agreed to establish a single point of contact for all borrowers who contact their servicer regarding a difficulty to make monthly mortgage payments.

HOPE NOW Plans to Reach Military Homeowners
 
2/9/2012 - DS News

HOPE NOW announced plans to reach out to military homeowners facing foreclosure.

Stakeholders representing the mortgage servicing industry, non-profit counselors, investors, regulators, and military members met in Washington, D.C. to strategize on ways to assist those in the military who are at risk of losing their home due to a permanent change in station and other issues.

John Dalton, President of the Housing Policy Council and former Secretary of the Navy, attended as a key panelist.

“The current housing crisis has created a separate set of challenges for homeowners in the military. In order to assist these families, the Housing Policy Council, in response to these challenges, developed several documents, including one that outlines a single point of contact for personal finance managers, housing relocation managers, and JAGs as they work together to save homes for families serving our country,” Dalton said. “These documents have been embraced by various military stakeholders, and we are proud to be implementing it across the armed forces.”

With input from military partners, at least four military bases have been identified for face-to-face outreach, according to a release.  HOPE NOW plans to hold the outreaches during the first half of 2012, with the possibility of additional bases before the end of the year.

HOPE NOW has sponsored 120 face-to-face homeowner outreaches since 2008. In addition to discussions on reaching out to military servicemen, the two-day meetings addressed issues with foreclosure mediation such as ways to improve communication between borrowers and servicers.

HOPE NOW is an alliance between counselors, mortgage companies, investors, and other mortgage market participants, according to its website.

Consumer Sentiment Improving, Fannie Mae Survey Shows   
 
2/9/2012 - DS News

Respondents from a Fannie Mae National Housing Survey for January 2012 expressed expectations for home prices to increase by 1 percent over the next 12 months, and most Americans continue to expect no change in mortgage rates.

This marks the fourth month in a row consumer expectation was positive. 

“The Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates low beyond 2014, extending their prior time frame of mid-2013 announced in the summer, appears to have been reflected in the rising share of consumers expecting the rate to remain near record low levels for another year,” said Doug Duncan, VP and chief economist for Fannie Mae.

“At the same time, consumers expect home prices to rise over the next year, extending the streak of rising home price expectations to four months. If the employment market continues to strengthen, it is unlikely that the Fed

will be able to keep its low interest pledge for long, and a more meaningful housing recovery may not be far behind if consumers are faced with the prospect of rising mortgage rates and home prices amid increased job security,” said Duncan.

The Fannie Mae survey polled 1,000 Americans through a telephone interview to assess attitudes towards different areas of the mortgage industry, including owning and renting, rates, homeownership distress, and the economy.

Homeowners and renters interviewed were asked more than 100 questions to track attitudinal shifts, and the survey was conducted between January 9 and January 27, 2012.

Survey Highlights

*The percentage of respondents who said the economy is on the right track was at 30 percent, an 8 percent increase since last November.  The percentage who said the economy is on the wrong track was at 63 percent, a 6 point decrease since last November.

*While 51 percent of respondents expect home prices to stay the same, 28 percent said they expect prices to rise, which is a 2 point increase since last month.  Sixteen percent said they expect prices to decline.

*Forty-four percent of respondents said their personal financial situation will get better over the next 12 months, as opposed to the 41 percent who said it will stay the same.

For more information on the survey, go to
www.fanniemae.com/portal/research-and-analysis/housing-monthly.html?

Report Reveals Number of Foreclosures Down From Last Year
 
2/9/2012 - DS News

A foreclosure report released by CoreLogic Wednesday revealed that the number of homes in foreclosure is decreasing nationwide. The report included monthly data on foreclosures, foreclosure inventory, and 90-plus delinquency rates.

Completed foreclosures for 2011 totaled 830,000, compared to 1.1 million in 2010. The December 2011 completed foreclosures figure was also down to 55,000, compared to 67,000 in December 2010. 

Nationally, the number of loans in the foreclosure inventory decreased 8.4 percent in December 2011, compared to December 2010, which is a decline of about 130,000 properties.  Data from the report revealed 1.4 million homes, or 3.4 percent of all homes with a mortgage, were in the foreclosure inventory as of December 2011. 

A property is counted as foreclosure inventory when the mortgage servicer places the property into the foreclosure process. Foreclosure inventory is only measured against homes with an outstanding mortgage. About one-third of homeowners nationwide own their homes.

“The inventory of foreclosed properties has begun to shrink, and the pace at which properties are entering foreclosure is slowing. While foreclosure filings are being curtailed by a variety of judicial and regulatory constraints, mortgage servicers are completing REO sales faster than they are completing foreclosures,” Mark

Fleming, chief economist with CoreLogic, said in the release. “This is the first time in a year that REO sales have outpaced completed foreclosures, and part of the reason for the decrease in the foreclosure inventory.”

In December 2011, servicers increased the rate at which they were able to process distressed assets, also known as distressed clearing ratio, according to the CoreLogic report.

The distressed clearing ratio is found by dividing the number of REO sales by completed foreclosures. A higher ratio means faster clearing of REO inventory. The distressed clearing ratio was 1.03 in December, up from 0.94 in November.

The share of borrowers nationally that were 90 days or more delinquent decreased to 7.3 percent in December 2011, compared to 7.8 percent in December 2010.

From the start of the financial crisis in September 2008, there have been approximately 3.2 million completed foreclosures, according to the report.

CoreLogic, headquartered in California, provides information, analytics, and services to the private and public sectors.

December 2011 Highlights From the Report

The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory:

  • Florida (11.9 percent)
  • New Jersey (6.4 percent)
  • Illinois (5.4 percent)
  • Nevada (5.3 percent)
  • New York (4.6 percent)

 

The five states with the lowest foreclosure inventory:

  • Wyoming (0.7 percent)
  • Alaska (0.8 percent)
  • North Dakota (0.8 percent)
  • Nebraska (1.0 percent)
  • Washington (1.3 percent)

 

Of the top 100 markets  measured by Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) population, 34 are showing an increase in the foreclosure inventory in December 2011, compared to 46 in November 2011.

Mortgage Modifications Down 40%   
 
2/8/2012 - DS News

An estimated 1.05 million homeowners received permanent loan modifications from mortgage servicers in 2011, according to year-end data released Tuesday by HOPE NOW.

That tally represents a 40 percent decline from the 1.76 million mods granted in 2010.

Of the more than 1 million loan mods completed last year, approximately 695,000 were done through servicers’ own proprietary programs, while 353,677 were through the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP).

For the month of December, HOPE NOW reports there were approximately 80,000 loan modifications completed, which included 56,000 proprietary and 23,374 completed under HAMP.

HOPE NOW’s industry data shows that loan modifications outpaced foreclosure sales for the fourth consecutive year. In 2011, there were approximately 843,000 foreclosure

sales completed for the year – a significant drop from the 1.07 million reported in 2010.

Faith Schwartz, executive director of HOPE NOW, says 2011 was yet another challenging year for the nation’s housing market and the economy in general, but she notes that great strides continue to be made on behalf of at-risk families across the country.

“Since 2007, more than five million permanent, sustainable solutions have been offered and in the past two years, almost three million have been done,” Schwartz said.

While HOPE NOW’s data shows that total loan mods for 2011 were less than the number completed last year, Schwartz says it is important to note that foreclosure sales dropped by more than 21 percent from 2010.

“That is very significant in that it reinforces the assertion that the industry, and its various partners, has worked hard to ensure that every homeowner in trouble is apprised of all available options before going to foreclosure sale,” Schwartz said.

HOPE NOW’s analysis of last year’s loan modifications found that approximately 80 percent, or 555,000, of all proprietary modifications reduced borrowers’ principal and interest payments.

In addition, fixed-rate modifications – which are structured with an initial fixed period of five years or more – accounted for 82 percent, or 572,000, of all proprietary modifications.

HOPE NOW’s report shows that as of December 2011, there were 2.79 million mortgages 60 or more days delinquent, compared to 2.87 million in December 2010.

Home Prices Start Year With 2.6% Annual Drop
 
2/6/2012 - DS News

Data through the end of January released by Clear Capital Monday shows home prices in the U.S. are down 2.6 percent from a year ago.

The company’s rolling quarter assessment, which compares the four months through January 2012 to the previous three months, returned a 1.6 percent decline in home prices at the national level, after three months of stability.

Clear Capital says the culprit is the Midwest market, which saw a dramatic turnaround in momentum, losing 4.0 percent quarter-over-quarter, and marking the first time in seven months it has led the nation in quarterly losses. That compares to a loss of just 0.4 percent reported last month for the rolling quarter.

These shorter term declines pulled down the Midwest’s year-over-year returns to -5.2 percent. Clear Capital says this drop in values can be partly attributed to a 1.5 percent uptick in REO saturation in the region over the past quarter, from 29.5 percent to 31 percent.

Other regions of the country showed little change in prices, with quarter-over-quarter declines of less than 1.0 percent, according to Clear Capital’s report.

The Northeast region remained essentially flat over last month’s report with a very mild quarterly loss of 0.7 percent, and year-over-year growth of 0.1 percent. Clear Capital says this region has been resilient over time with relative stability in both annual and quarterly numbers, but it also boasts overall losses of just 22.5 percent since the height of that market’s value in 2006, as compared to the national average of 40.5 percent depreciation since the peak.

The Southern and Western regions posted similarly mild price changes quarter-over-quarter, with a 0.9 percent decline for each each and price decreases of 1.8 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively, year-over-year.

The West, in particular, is picking up steam in terms of recovering lost value. Clear Capital notes that after consistent weakness throughout 2011, the West reduced its year-over-year losses by nearly a full percent when compared to last month’s results of -4.4 percent. The company says the difference can be partly attributed to a decline in REO sales in the region, from 38 percent in the first quarter of 2011 to 31 percent as of January 2012.

“Although prices at the national level continue to slide due to pressure from the Midwest, the lower priced segments of several specific markets are bucking the trend and seeing appreciation, suggesting that recoveries could be occurring from the bottom up,” said Dr. Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics at Clear Capital.

However, Villacora added, “When we look at the strength in the bottom tier of prices, the volatility within the metro markets, the rapid changes in direction with certain regions, and relative stability in others, these factors underscore the economic and market fragility that remains a dark cloud over housing prices.”

Industry Waits with Bated Breath as States Consider Settlement   
 
2/6/2012 - DS News

UPDATED to reflect statement issued by Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller late Monday evening.

The deadline for the 50 state attorneys general to sign onto the settlement negotiated between the committee headed by Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller and five large servicers was extended from Friday to Monday. Late Monday evening, Miller’s office issued a statement saying more than 40 states have agreed to participate in the settlement.

“This enables us to move forward into the very final stages of remaining work,” Miller said. “Federal and state officials, as well as representatives from the banks, continue to address matters that they must complete before finalizing any settlement.”

Miller declined to provide any further details on Monday’s developments.

For the past few months, the number repeated from various sources is $25 billion. That’s $25 billion that Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Ally Financial would pay for a clean slate regarding the robo-signing misdeeds of the past.

According to a Monday article on CNBC.com,  the $25 billion would be distributed in three ways: $17 million for principal reductions, $3 billion for homeowners whose homes have been foreclosed, and $5 billion for state and federal foreclosure programs.

The $17 million in principal reductions is expected to provide aid for about 1 million homeowners, and about 750,000 homeowners who have lost their homes to foreclosure would receive about $2,000.

While $25 billion is the number most cited, the amount is contingent on how many and which states agree to the settlement.

California Attorney General Kamala Harris previously called the proposal “inadequate” for Californians, but it is possible she will sign on to the deal.

Likewise, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman says the settlement is now more favorable than in the past, according to an article Monday in the New York Times.

According to the New York Times article, the proposed settlement also states that if the banks fail to follow through on the full amount of principal reductions, they will pay the government the difference along with a fine of up to 40 percent.

HAMP Mods Approach 1M Mark
 
2/6/2012 - DS News

More than 930,000 homeowners have received a permanent modification through the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), saving an estimated $10.5 billion in monthly mortgage payments, according to Treasury.

While this tally – nearly three years after the program’s launch – falls well short of the results initially promised by President Obama of helping 3 to 4 million homeowners restructure their loans, federal officials continue to tout a key success of HAMP as improving standards and processes within the industry.

Treasury’s latest report card on HAMP points out that HOPE NOW lenders have offered more than 2.6 million proprietary mortgage modifications from April 2009 – when HAMP was launched – through December 2011.

Officials also contend that HAMP ensures borrowers are fitted with sustainable modifications. Quarterly redefault data shows that after six months in the program, more than 94 percent of homeowners remain in their permanent modification.

During the month of December, 23,374 permanent HAMP modifications were granted by participating servicers, according to the Treasury report released Monday. Another 20,079 trial plans were started under HAMP.

Treasury notes in its report that eligible borrowers entering HAMP now have a high likelihood of earning a

permanent modification. Eighty-four percent of homeowners entering HAMP in the past 18 months received a permanent modification, with an average trial period of 3.5 months.

On January 27, the Obama administration announced a slew of enhancements to HAMP aimed at broadening the pool of eligible homeowners, protecting tenants whose landlords face foreclosure, and reducing mortgage principals for underwater homeowners who participate in the program.

In addition, just last week, President Obama unveiled a plan to provide responsible borrowers with non-GSE loans an opportunity to refinance and lower their monthly payments or shorten their loan terms. Obama also announced his intention to implement a Homeowner’s Bill of Rights and begin to transition government-owned REOs into rental housing.

“Responsible homeowners shouldn’t have to sit and wait for the housing market to hit bottom to get some relief,” said Raphael Bostic HUD assistant secretary.  Bostic described the recent proposals put for the by the administration as “critical to promoting healing in the market.”

While Treasury’s report noted positive trends within several key housing indicators, Bostic says the overall outlook remains mixed, which means both officials and the industry “must remain diligent to improve conditions.”

Market data show inventories of existing homes for sale have continued to improve over the last two quarters, declining from 3.2 million in the second quarter to 2.4 million in the fourth quarter. 

At the same time, housing units held off the market have also fallen, from 3.9 million in the first quarter to 3.6 million in the fourth quarter, according to Treasury.

Existing-home sales continue to increase, while foreclosure starts continue to fall and foreclosure completions tick upward.

CoreLogic Records 4.7% Drop in Home Prices in 2011   
 
2/3/2012 - DS News

Year-end data from CoreLogic shows home prices fell by 4.7 percent over 2011. It marks the fifth consecutive year the company has recorded an annual decline in residential property values.

CoreLogic performed a separate calculation, which illustrates just how big an impact distressed sales are having on home prices. The company excluded all short sale and REO transactions from 2011 and found that when the distress factor is taken out, prices declined by just 0.9 percent.

Commenting on the company’s latest results, Mark Fleming, CoreLogic’s chief economist said, “While overall prices declined by almost 5 percent in 2011, non-distressed prices showed only a small decrease. Until distressed sales

in the market recede, we will see continued downward pressure on prices.”

Montana tops CoreLogic’s list of states with the highest appreciation last year (based on overall prices, including distressed sales). There, home prices rose 4.4 percent.

Rounding out the top five list for price gains are Vermont (+4.0 percent), South Dakota (+3.1 percent), Nebraska (+2.5 percent), and New York (+1.7 percent).

At the other end of the spectrum, Illinois takes the top seed for the highest level of depreciation in 2011 (also including distressed sales), with an 11.3 percent decline.

The hard-hit states of Nevada (-10.6 percent), Georgia (-8.3 percent), and Ohio (-7.7 percent) also landed on the list, with Minnesota (-7.5 percent) capturing the No. 5 spot for home price depreciation last year.

At the national level, CoreLogic says home prices ended 2011 down 33.7 percent from their peak in April 2006.

Here again, the company illustrated the weight of distressed sales, noting that when short sale and REO transactions are factored out, the home price decline from April 2006 through December 2011 narrows to 24.0 percent.

The five states with the largest declines from the peak (including distressed transactions) are Nevada (-60.0 percent), Arizona (-51.9 percent), Florida (-50 percent), Michigan (-43.7 percent), and California (-43.5 percent).

Outstanding Mortgage Balances Declined $30B Each Month in 2011   
 
2/3/2012 - DS News

Each month of 2011, outstanding mortgage balances in the U.S. declined by an average of $30 billion, according to a recently released report from Moody’s Analytics and Equifax.

The report, authored by Christian deRitis, director of consumer credit economics at Moody’s, attributes the decline to defaulted loans being written off.

Aggregate delinquency rose by 6 basis points in December to 6.12 percent, according to the companies’ joint study. The rate remains in line with rates seen since April but has declined since a January high of 8.25 percent. Delinquency rate by dollar amount rose 14 basis points in December.

Delinquency rates, however, vary by state with higher delinquencies in the West and parts of the South, while Oregon and parts of the Northeast are seeing the lowest delinquency rates.

Overall, delinquencies “remain extremely high by prerecession standards as servicers struggle to cope with the overhang of distressed properties,” deRitis says.

While defaulted loans are written off, they are not being replaced with newly originated loans. “Outside of existing borrowers taking advantage of record low interest rates to refinance, few new mortgages are being originated,” deRitis says.

Potential homebuyers continue to stall while prices keep falling and underwriting standards remain tight, according to deRitis.

States' Deadline for Decision on Robo-Signing Settlement Gets Pushed
 
2/2/2012 - DS News

It will be at least three more days before the industry learns how many and which states have agreed to the robo-signing settlement that was proposed last week. The deadline for state attorneys general to opt in has been pushed from February 3 to February 6.

Geoff Greenwood, spokesperson for Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, says at least one state requested an additional business day to come to a decision, so Miller moved the cut-off date to Monday. Miller is head of the negotiating committee for the states.

While terms of the current settlement proposal have not been disclosed, it’s expected that the agreement will include penalties against the nation’s five largest mortgage servicers in the range of $25 billion and will lay out procedural changes for foreclosure processing.

Should an agreement be reached, it would absolve Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase,

and Wells Fargo of past documentation and affidavit errors in the states that choose to join the settlement and protect them from future litigation by those states.

Oregon Attorney General John Kroger issued a statement this week announcing that Oregon will sign on to the multi-state settlement.

“I am not confident we could get a better agreement on this limited set of issues if we litigated for several more years,” Kroger said.

He also noted that the release in the settlement is “narrowly drafted,” which would leave the door open for participating states to pursue their own investigations of mortgage securitization and other practices that they feel may have led to the housing crisis.

Kroger says the proposed settlement would give the state of Oregon an estimated $30 million, in addition to an estimated $100 to $200 million to assist underwater homeowners and borrowers facing foreclosure in the state.

According to Bloomberg, Connecticut Attorney General George Jepsen also supports the settlement agreement.

The one state that may prove to be the tipping point in what has been a year of negotiations between attorneys general and servicers is California. Its attorney general has already publicly rejected the settlement proposal, stating that the deal is “inadequate for California.”

Market observers say without California, the deal may be inadequate for the servicers.

Obama Details Plan for Mass Refi Program Funded by Largest Lenders   
 
2/1/2012 - DS News

President Obama on Wednesday outlined his proposal to allow millions more homeowners to cash in on today’s historically low mortgage rates.

Speaking at a community center in Falls Church, Virginia, the president issued a call to Congress to pass legislation to establish a streamlined refinancing program through the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) that would be open to all non-GSE borrowers with non-jumbo loans who have been keeping up with their mortgage payments.

The administration estimates the program could provide as many as 3.5 million borrowers with the opportunity to reduce their mortgage debt and would cost between $5 and $10 billion.

The cost of the new refi program would not add a dime to the national deficit, Obama said, as it would be paid for by imposing fees on financial institutions with more than $50 billion in assets.

This Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee has not yet been approved by lawmakers on Capitol Hill. The president has tried to push this same big-bank-tax through the channels twice before, in early 2011 and early 2010, but was unsuccessful.

The idea met with strong opposition from lawmakers and industry trade groups, who threatened to take legal action had the Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee passed.

Under the president’s proposal, any borrower with a mortgage that is not currently guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac can qualify for a refinancing through FHA if they:

  • have been current on their payments for the past six months and have not missed more than one payment in the six months prior
  • have a FICO score of at least 580
  • have a loan that meets FHA conforming loan limits for their area
  • are refinancing the mortgage on their principal residence

Borrowers will apply through a streamlined process which Obama says is designed to make it simpler and less expensive for both borrowers and lenders to refinance.

Borrowers will not be required to submit a new appraisal or tax return. To determine a borrower’s eligibility, a lender need only confirm that the borrower is employed.

Those who are not employed may still be eligible if they meet the other requirements and present limited credit risk. However, lenders will need to perform a full underwriting of these borrowers to determine whether they are a good fit for the program.

The president outlined additional steps to reduce program costs, including establishing loan-to-value (LTV) limits for qualifying loans. Obama says his administration will work with Congress to establish risk-mitigation measures which could include requiring lenders interested in refinancing deeply underwater loans (e.g. greater than 140 LTV) to write down the balance of these loans before they qualify.

Obama also proposed creating a separate FHA insurance fund designated for the new streamlined refinancing program. He says this will help FHA better track and manage the risk involved and ensure the program has no

effect on the agency’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance (MMI) fund – the principal insurance account that covers default claims on all single-family and reverse mortgages.

In addition, Obama says his administration has worked with the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to streamline Fannie and Freddie’s refinancing program for non-delinquent borrowers. With the latest expansion of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), the GSEs have eliminated LTV restrictions, lowered their refinancing fees, and reduced borrowers’ closing costs.

Obama is now calling on Congress to enact additional changes that he says will save taxpayers money by reducing the number of defaults on GSE loans.

“We believe these steps are within the existing authority of the FHFA. However, to date, the GSEs have not acted, so the administration is calling on Congress to do what is in the taxpayer’s interest,” according to a statement issued by the White House.

The president wants Congress to eliminate appraisal costs for all borrowers participating in HARP by directing the GSE’s to use mark-to-market accounting or another alternative to manual appraisals on loans for which the LTV cannot be determined with the GSE’s automated valuation model (AVM).

The president’s legislative plan would also require the GSEs to implement the same streamlined underwriting for new servicers as they do for current servicers under HARP, in hopes of increasing competition between banks for borrowers’ business.

A key component of President Obama’s refi plan centers on giving borrowers the opportunity to rebuild equity in their homes. All underwater homeowners who decide to participate in either HARP or the FHA refinancing program will have a choice: they can take the benefit of the reduced interest rate in the form of lower monthly payments, or they can apply that savings to rebuilding equity in their homes by opting for a shorter loan term.

To encourage borrowers to go the rebuilding equity route, Obama is proposing the legislation provide for the GSEs and FHA to cover closing costs when the borrower agrees to refinance into a loan with a term of 20 years or less, with monthly payments roughly equal to what they’ve been paying.

Obama says this option would shave an average of $3,000 off each homeowner’s refinancing costs and would give the majority of underwater borrowers the chance to get back above water within five years or less.

The Agriculture Department, which supports mortgage financing for rural families through the USDA program, is also streamlining its process for refinancing to align with the plan outlined by Obama.

FHA is making similar changes to its existing refi program available to borrowers whose original loan is FHA-insured. To alleviate lenders’ concerns about refinancing without a full underwrite of the new loan, FHA will not include these loans in its assessments of lender performance.

Obama admitted that the administration’s past efforts to counter the effects of the housing crisis haven’t produced the results that were initially promised.

“I’ll be honest, the programs we’ve put forward didn’t work at the scale we’d hoped,” Obama told the crowd in Virginia. “Not as many people have taken advantage of it as we wanted.

“[N]o program or policy will solve all the problems in a multitrillion-dollar housing market,” Obama continued. “What this plan will do is help millions of responsible homeowners who make their payments on time but find themselves trapped under falling home values or wrapped up in red tape.”

Obama closed with an appeal to Congress to act, to pass his plan, and to help more families keep their homes.

National Servicing Standards Emerge in New Homeowner Bill of Rights   
 
2/1/2012 - DS News

“The administration believes that the mortgage servicing system is badly broken and would benefit from a single set of strong federal standards,” the White House said in a document outlining President Obama’s vision for how a servicing shop should be run.

The president on Wednesday introduced what he’s termed the Homeowner Bill of Rights – plainly defined principles that Obama says will ensure borrowers and lenders are playing by the same common-sense rules. 

At the top of that list is a simple, straightforward mortgage disclosure form so borrowers have a clear understanding of their loan. Obama told constituents in Falls Church, Virginia, where he unveiled the new Bill of Rights, that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is already making headway in its effort to replace overlapping and complex mortgage forms with a new shorter, simpler form to be used for all home loans.

Obama’s new set of standards mandate servicers provide homeowners with full and clear disclosure of all fees and penalties upfront, with any changes disclosed before they go into effect.

It also requires servicers and investors to implement standards that minimize conflicts of interest and facilitate communication between multiple investors and junior lien holders, so that loss mitigation efforts are not hindered.

Carved out within the Homeowner Bill of Rights is a series of rules to ensure homeowners at risk of foreclosure are provided with the assistance they need to save their homes.

Obama’s proposal calls for early intervention by servicers to contact every homeowner who has demonstrated hardship or fallen behind on their payments, and provide them with a comprehensive set of options to avoid foreclosure. The president’s directive states that every distressed homeowner must be given “a reasonable time” to apply for a modification.

It also requires servicers to provide all homeowners who have requested assistance of become delinquent with access to a customer service employee who has 1) a complete record of previous communications; 2) access to all documentation and payments submitted by the homeowner; and 3) access to personnel with decision-making authority on loss mitigation options.

The new servicing standards would prohibit servicers from initiating a foreclosure action unless they are unable to establish contact with the homeowner after reasonable efforts, or the homeowner has shown a clear inability or lack of interest in pursuing alternatives to foreclosure.

Any foreclosure action already under way must stop prior to sale once the servicer has received the required documentation and cannot be restarted unless the homeowner fails to complete a mod application within a reasonable period, is denied a modification after evaluation, or fails to comply with the terms of the modification received.

The Bill of Rights also establishes protections for homeowners against wrongful foreclosures. Servicers must explain to all homeowners any decision to take action based on their failure to meet payment obligations, and provide the homeowner with the opportunity to appeal that decision in a formal review process.

In addition, prior to a foreclosure sale, servicers must certify in writing to the foreclosure attorney or trustee that appropriate loss mitigation alternatives have been considered and that proceeding to foreclosure sale is consistent with applicable law. A copy of this certification must be provided to the borrower.

“As we have learned over the past few years, the nation is not well served by the inconsistent patchwork of standards in place today, which fails to provide the needed support for both homeowners and investors,” Obama said. “A fair set of rules will allow lenders to be transparent about options and allow borrowers to meet their responsibilities to understand the terms of their commitments.”

The agencies of the executive branch with authority over servicing practices – including the Federal Housing Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and Treasury – will each begin implementing rules in the coming months that are consistent with the standards outlined by the Homeowner Bill of Rights, according to the White House.

In announcing the new set of national servicing standards, President Obama said, “Government must take responsibility for rules that are fair and fairly enforced. Banks and lenders must be held accountable for ending the practices that helped cause this crisis in the first place.”

FHFA Solicits Investors for REO-to-Rental Sales
 
2/1/2012 - DS News

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) on Wednesday issued a notice to investors interested in buying government-owned REOs in bulk for use as rental properties, encouraging them to register with Fannie Mae in order to pre-qualify as an eligible bidder.

FHFA says the first pilot transaction will be announced in the “near-term.” During the pilot phase, Fannie Mae will sell off pools of various types of assets, including rental properties, vacant properties, and nonperforming loans, with a focus on the hardest-hit areas.

These pilot sales represent the initial stage of the government’s Real-Estate Owned (REO) Initiative announced in August 2011, when FHFA issued a Request for Information (RFI) seeking input on options for selling single-family REO properties held by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). The agency received more than 4,000 responses from industry stakeholders.

The REO Initiative will allow qualified investors to purchase pools of foreclosed properties from government housing agencies with the requirement that the properties be rented out for a specified number of years.

“This is an important step toward increasing private investment in foreclosed properties to maximize value and

stabilize communities,” said Edward DeMarco, acting director of FHFA. “I am grateful for the collaborative effort by the many stakeholders including investors, nonprofit organizations, and state and local government officials, who have worked together on this Initiative.”

FHFA says pre-qualification of participating investors ensures they have the financial capacity and operational expertise to manage properties so that their efforts support the stabilization of communities that have been hit hard by the housing downturn.

The pre-qualification process requires those interested in receiving information regarding specific pilot transactions to meet certain minimum criteria. Beyond providing proof that they have the financial means to acquire the assets and the experience and knowledge to assume the risks associated with such an investment, FHFA says prospective investors must agree to keep certain information about the REO and related matters confidential.

The purpose of the REO Initiative pilot is to examine investor interest in various types of assets, including the location, size, and composition of pools of assets, as well as the ways in which investors maximize the participation of experienced local firms and organizations to provide the services and support needed to ensure community stabilization. The agency is also looking at which types of transactional structures and financing improve both sellers’ returns and home values in the impacted markets.

Interested investors can register to pre-qualify at FHFA’s REO Initiative page on the agency’s website.

FHFA says it is also looking at ways to improve REO sales to homeowners and small investors by enhancing the GSEs’ existing retail sales strategies. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sell the majority of their REO properties to owner-occupants at close to market value.

As of the end of the third quarter of 2011, Fannie Mae had 122,616 single-family REO properties on its books and Freddie Mac held 59,596.

Homeownership and Vacancy Rates Drop
 
2/1/2012 - DS News

The national vacancy rate among single-family non-rental homes fell to 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011, according to data released Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau.

That’s down from 2.7 percent at the beginning of last year, and the lowest homeowner vacancy rate since early 2006.

Undoubtedly, the decline in vacancies is an offshoot of fewer foreclosures in 2011 combined with a slight uptick in home sales for the year.

RealtyTrac reports foreclosure starts were down 39 percent from 2010. And while new home sales had their worst showing in recorded history, the National Association of Realtors tracked a 1.7 percent annual increase in existing-home sales.

Paul Diggle, property economist with Capital Economics, says it’s another sign that excess inventory – at least the visible inventory – is slowly but surely being cleared. It

“leaves the visible inventory at a level consistent with house prices bottoming out later in the year,” according to Diggle.

The Census Bureau also reported that the nation’s homeownership rate dropped to 66.0 percent – its lowest level in nearly 14 years – as the housing downturn has eaten away at the share of Americans who are willing and able to own their own home.

The fourth-quarter homeownership rate gave up almost all of the previous quarter’s gain, Diggle noted.

“What’s more, despite median mortgage costs being more affordable than ever and early signs that mortgage credit is becoming more available…the seven-year downturn in homeownership may still have further to run,” he warns.

The flipside, Diggles says, is there are more households in the rented sector and fewer properties lacking tenants, which is helping to drive rents, and therefore landlords’ returns, higher.

He expects rental value growth is to hit 3 percent this year and average rental yields to rise to around 5.5 percent.

With house prices still falling for now, Diggles says it will be a while yet before homeownership is once again seen as an essential part of the American Dream, and that’s despite the fact that owning now seems to make greater financial sense than renting.

The drop in the homeownership rate pushed the share of households in rented accommodations up, from 33.6 percent at the beginning of 2011 to 34.0 percent in the fourth quarter. The ratio of homes in the rental sector that were vacant also fell, to 9.4 percent.

Robo-Signing Settlement Update: Friday is Cutoff for States to Join
 
1/31/2012 - DS News
 
State attorneys general have until Friday to sign on to the settlement draft proposed last Monday that would resolve claims against the nation’s top five mortgage servicers surrounding documentation errors in foreclosure processing, according to the Wall Street Journal’s Ruth Simon.

Based on a document obtained by the Journal, Simon says the deadline has been set by lead negotiators who are trying to pull together an agreement between states, the U.S. Department of Justice, HUD, Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo.

The year-long back-and-forth between states’ lead counsels and the nation’s largest mortgage servicers may be in its final days … possibly.

Two state attorneys general have already rejected the settlement proposed. Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden and California Attorney General Kamala Harris have both voiced their opposition to the agreement as it stands.

Ian McConnel, director of the fraud division for the Delaware attorney general, says Biden’s opposition to the settlement “should come as no surprise” given his prior public comments on the issue.

“We’ve reviewed the details of the latest settlement proposal from the banks, and we believe it is inadequate for California,” Shum Preston, spokesperson for the California Justice Department told DSNews.com.

“Our state has been clear about what any multistate settlement must contain: transparency, relief going to the most distressed homeowners, and meaningful enforcement that ensures accountability. At this point, this deal does not suffice for California,” Preston said.

“With about one out of every five of the nation’s foreclosures being in California, the value of any settlement without the inclusion of the Golden State may not be of interest to the banks,” according to James Frischling, president and co-founder of NewOak Capital, an advisory, asset management, and capital markets firm.

Frischling says without a release from California, “[t]he liabilities they [the servicers] face would still be massive, so California is the 800 pound gorilla in the room that must be part of any settlement.”

The settlement terms could include as much as $25 billion in penalties assessed against the servicers, which would be used to fund principal writedowns and mortgage modifications and be used to compensate borrowers impacted by servicer errors.

It’s been reported that smaller servicers may also join the settlement, which would release them from future litigation by the state and federal officials involved on matters related to past documentation and affidavit issues.

The Washington Post reports North Carolina Bank Commissioner Joseph Smith has been tapped to ensure that the terms of the settlement are carried out. Smith was President Obama’s pick to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) back in November 2010, but his nomination failed to win approval in the Senate.

Processing Delays Manifested: 39% Fewer Foreclosure Starts in 2011   
 
1/30/12 - DS News
 
The number of foreclosure actions initiated in 2011 was down 38.7 percent compared to 2010, according to a new report from Lender Processing Services (LPS).

The company also reported that delinquencies at the end of 2011 were down nearly 8 percent from the previous year and were 25 percent below their peak in January 2010.

The foreclosure inventory, on the other hand, remains near historic highs, at 4.11 percent as of the end of December.

The numbers illustrate the impact of foreclosure processing delays brought on by the robo-signing controversy that surfaced in the fall of 2010, the impact of which remains strong in judicial states.

LPS says foreclosure inventories in judicial states remain 2.5 times that of non-judicial, while foreclosure sale rates in non-judicial states stood at approximately four times that of their judicial counterparts in December.

The company also found that half of all loans in foreclosure in judicial states have not made a payment in more than two years compared to 28 percent in non-judicial states.

Still, on average, LPS says pipeline ratios – which is the amount of time it would take to clear the inventory of loans seriously delinquent and in foreclosure at the current rate – have declined significantly from earlier this year.

The company’s data show that the states with the largest declines in non-current loans are all non-judicial, including Nevada, Arizona, Michigan, and California.

Administration Revamps HAMP to Reach More Borrowers
 
1/30/12 - DS News
 
Changes announced Friday to the administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) are expected to extend relief to a larger share of struggling homeowners as well as renters, according to federal officials.

One of the key adjustments to the program centers around principal reductions. HAMP currently includes an option for servicers to provide underwater homeowners who are struggling with their payments with a modification that includes a principal writedown.

To encourage investors to agree to principal reduction modifications, Treasury is tripling the incentives for such restructurings, paying from 18 to 63 cents on the dollar, depending on the degree of change in the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has prohibited Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from employing HAMP’s principal reducing option for their borrowers. Treasury has notified FHFA that it will pay these same principal reduction incentives to Fannie and Freddie if they allow servicers to forgive principal in conjunction with a HAMP modification.

FHFA issued a statement in response noting that it recently released analysis concluding principal forgiveness does not offer any greater benefits than principal forbearance as a loss mitigation tool.

But the agency says it will reassess the investor incentives now being offered, taking into consideration the number of eligible loans, operational costs to implement such changes, and the potential effects of incentivizing borrowers to remain current.

Among the other changes announced, borrowers who are struggling because of debt beyond their mortgages, such as second liens and medical bills, will be eligible for an alternative program evaluation with more flexible debt-to-income criteria.

In addition, Treasury will expand eligibility to include investor properties that are currently occupied by a tenant as well as vacant properties slated for rental use.

Tim Massad, Treasury’s assistant secretary for financial stability says single-family homes serve an important function as affordable rental housing, and foreclosure of investor-owned homes has disproportionate negative effects on low- and moderate-income renters, as well as communities.

The deadline for HAMP will be extended for an additional year through December 31, 2013.

To date, HAMP has helped approximately 900,000 struggling homeowners permanently modify their mortgage loans, providing them with a median savings of more than $500 a month.

Massad says the administration is committed to a multi-pronged effort to support American homeowners and the housing market recovery.

In addition to foreclosure prevention initiatives such as HAMP, Massad says the federal government plans to focus on transitioning foreclosed properties into rental housing, making it possible for responsible homeowners to refinance, and providing hard-hit states with resources to develop targeted relief programs.

Foreclosures for Sale: 34% Off   
 
1/30/12 - DS News
 
Foreclosure homes sold for 34 percent less than the average price of a non-distressed home during the third quarter of 2011, according to new data released by RealtyTrac Thursday.

The average sales price of homes in the process of foreclosure or bank-owned was $165,322 over the July-to-September period last year.

RealtyTrac says third parties purchased a total of 221,536 residential properties classified as foreclosures or REO during the third quarter of 2011, representing just 20 percent of all residential sales during that timeframe.

The third-quarter share of distressed sales activity is down from 22 percent in the second quarter and down from 30 percent of all sales in the third quarter of 2010. At that time, a year earlier, the discount on a home in foreclosure or REO was averaging 37 percent.

“While foreclosures continue to represent an excellent bargain-buying opportunity for many buyers and investors, foreclosure sales accounted for a smaller share of the total market in the third quarter,” commented Brandon Moore, RealtyTrac’s CEO.

Moore says he’s not too surprised by the numbers, given the ambiguity surrounding foreclosure procedures — and

the ripple effect that has on sales of foreclosed properties that might have been improperly processed.

“The sooner the market gets more clarity about accepted foreclosure procedures, primarily through the long-promised settlement between multiple states attorneys general and major lenders, the sooner the market can more efficiently dispose of these distressed properties,” according to Moore.

Even with the hurdles to selling foreclosures, distressed sales continue to represent a historically high percentage of all sales, Moore explained. He points to 2005 and 2006, when foreclosure sales accounted for less than 5 percent of all sales nationwide.

According to RealtyTrac’s analysis, a total of 92,824 pre-foreclosure homes – typically short sales – sold to third parties in the third quarter of last year.

Pre-foreclosures had an average sales price nationwide of $191,119, a discount of 24 percent below the average sales price of homes not in foreclosure. These properties took an average of 318 days to sell after receiving an initial foreclosure notice.

Pre-foreclosure sales increased sharply on an annual basis in Michigan (up 68 percent), North Carolina (up 44 percent), Ohio (up 43 percent) and Georgia (up 35 percent). RealtyTrac reports that pre-foreclosure sales outnumbered REO sales in several states in the third quarter, including Colorado, Florida, New Jersey, and New York.

A total of 128,712 bank-owned REOs sold to third parties in the third quarter, according to RealtyTrac’s report. They carried an average sales price of $146,437 – 42 percent below non-foreclosure prices – and had an average time-on-market of 193 days after being foreclosed.

Nevada, California, and Arizona posted the nation’s highest percentage of foreclosure sales during the third quarter.

 
 
Housing Inventory Down 22% From Year-Ago Levels  

1/24/2012 - DS News 

At the national level, the inventory of for-sale single-family homes, condominiums, townhouses, and co-ops dropped by 22.29 percent over the last year, according to new statistics released by Realtor.com.

The site concludes that at the close of 2011, there were 1.89 million single-family homes on the market, down 6 percent from just one month prior.

The median age of the inventory in December increased by 7.02 percent from November, but Realtor.com says the

bump is largely seasonal reflecting the end of the homebuying season.

The median age of existing inventory during December was 122 days, which is down nearly 4 percent when compared to a year ago.

Realtor.com notes that median list prices, which have remained essentially unchanged since June, are up by 5.03 percent nationally on a year-over-year basis.

Each of these developments can be viewed as “a positive sign that the housing market is holding its own at the national level,” according to Realtor.com.

Patterns differed across the 146 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) monitored by Realtor.com. Over the past several months, the site reports an increasing number of markets have registered year-over-year increases in median list prices while fewer markets have experienced year-over-year declines.

Still, markets remain fragile, according to Realtor.com, particularly in light of the large number of potential foreclosures and the recent uptick in delinquency rates in November.

 
 
 
 
 
Housing Crisis to End in 2012 as Banks Loosen Credit Standards
 
1/24/2012 - DS News
 
Capital Economics expects the housing crisis to end this year, according to a report released Tuesday. One of the reasons: loosening credit.

The analytics firm notes the average credit score required to attain a mortgage loan is 700. While this is higher than scores required prior to the crisis, it is constant with requirements one year ago.

Additionally, a Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey found credit requirements in the fourth quarter were consistent with the past three quarters.

However, other market indicators point not just to a stabilization of mortgage lending standards, but also a loosening of credit availability.

Banks are now lending amounts up to 3.5 times borrower earnings. This is up from a low during the crisis of 3.2 times borrower earnings.

Banks are also loosening loan-to-value ratios (LTV), which Capital Economics denotes “the clearest sign yet of an improvement in mortgage credit conditions.”

In contrast to a low of 74 percent reached in mid-2010, banks are now lending at 82 percent LTV.

While credit conditions may have loosened slightly, some potential homebuyers are still struggling with credit requirements. In fact, Capital Economics points out that in November 8 percent of contract cancellations were the result of a potential buyer not qualifying for a loan.

Additionally, Capital Economics says “any improvement in credit conditions won’t be significant enough to generation actual house price gains,” and potential ramifications from the euro-zone pose a threat to future credit availability.

 
Investors With Cash Place Downward Pressure on Home Prices
 
1/24/2012 - DS News
 
Homebuyers with enough cash in hand to cover their offer price in full are able to bid significantly lower on properties and according to a new industry report released Monday, because they offer a shorter and more reliable closing timeline without the impediments of a mortgage, they often win out with that lower bid.

The study, provided by Campbell Surveys and Inside Mortgage Finance as part of the companies’ monthly HousingPulse Tracking Survey, found that this low-bid-winning dynamic is particularly true for distressed properties because mortgage servicers selling foreclosed or REO homes generally prefer transactions that can settle within 30 days.

The total share of distressed properties in the housing market in December, as represented by the HousingPulse Distressed Property Index (DPI), continued at a high level of 47.2 percent, based on a three-month moving average. December marked the 24th month in a row that the DPI has been above 40 percent.

Cash buyers, many of them investors, are putting downward pressure on home prices across the board, according to the HousingPulse Survey.

In December 2011, data collected for the HousingPulse Survey shows that the overall proportion of cash buyers in the housing market surged to a record 33.2 percent, up from 29.6 percent a year earlier.

Among investor homebuyers, however, the proportion of cash buyers was much higher, with 74 percent of investors laying down the money to purchase homes outright last month.

The latest survey results indicate investors accounted for 22.8 percent of all home purchase transactions in December 2011, up from 22.2 percent a month earlier.

Despite their relatively small share among homebuyers, investors have an outsize effect on home values because their bids bring down market prices, according to the HousingPulse survey report.

While investor bids may not be the first offers accepted, the report notes that they often end up winning properties after other homebuyers are eliminated because of mortgage approval or timeline problems.

Real estate agents responding to the HousingPulse Survey commented on low bids from investors.

“Investors usually offer 10 percent – 20 percent below list up to a price of $250K. First-time homebuyers are [offering] close to list [price] as are current homeowners. Investors want 2-4 weeks to close…Financing buyers end up with 6- 8 weeks plus,” reported an agent in Arizona.

“In competitive offer situations, cash offers prevail for the most part because of the common knowledge of lender closing issues,” noted an agent in New Jersey. “Cash sales close in 21-30 days. FHA sales close in 45 to 60 days.”

The HousingPulse Tracking Survey from Campbell Surveys and Inside Mortgage Finance polls 2,500 real estate agents nationwide each month to assess market trends surrounding homes sales and mortgage lending.

Rise in Home Sales Signifies Strengthening Market: Economists   
 
1/23/2012 - DS News
 

The long-awaited housing recovery is beginning to blossom, according to industry experts taking a look at recent existing-home sales.

While admitting home sales “are still very low,” Paul Dales, chief economist at Capital Economics, says “it is clear that housing recovery is now well underway.”

The evidence: home sales have been on the rise for the past three months, posting a 5 percent increase in December.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), concurs with Dales’ assessment, saying “The pattern of home sales in recent months demonstrates a market in recovery.”

Yun suggests consumers are gaining confidence from “record low mortgage interest rates, job growth and bargain home prices.”

In addition to the 5 percent increase in December, NAR reported a 1.7 percent annual increase in existing-home sales in 2011, a total of 4.26 million homes for the year.

Distressed homes made up 32 percent of sales in December, according to NAR’s existing home sales report for the month.
Foreclosed home sales closed at about 22 percent below market rate in December, a discount 2 percent higher than that recorded a year earlier. 

Investor demand remains steady with 21 percent of homes sold in December going to investors after this category of buyers took 19 percent of purchases in November and 20 percent one year ago.

Cash sales – commonly linked to investors – made up 31 percent of December’s existing-home sales. This rate was 28 percent in November and 29 percent a year ago.

Purchases by first-time home buyers declined in December – both from the previous month and the previous year. First-time home buyers accounted for 31 percent of purchases in December, down from 35 percent in November and 33 percent in December 2010.

Housing inventory is on the decline and fell to its lowest level since March 2005 last month, according to NAR. Approximately 2.3 million homes are available for sale currently.

“The inventory supply suggests many markets will continue to see prices stabilize or grow moderately in the near future,” Yun said.

However, listed inventory is only part of the equation, and according to CoreLogic’s latest numbers, shadow inventory stands at about 1.6 million.

Regardless, Dales believes sales will rise this year. “Housing still won’t contribute much to GDP growth over the next few years, but at least it will no longer subtract from it,” Dales says.

FHFA Says Principal Writedowns by GSEs Would Cost $100B
 
1/23/2012 - DS News
 

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) says as of June 30, 2011, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac held nearly 3 million first lien mortgages in which the borrower owed more on the loan that the home was worth.

FHFA estimates principal forgiveness for all of these mortgages would require funding of almost $100 billion to pay down the loans to the value of the homes securing them.

In response to a request from members of Congress, FHFA on Monday publicly disclosed the analysis that led the agency to exclude principal forgiveness from the menu of loss mitigation tools available to the GSEs.

Reps. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Maryland) and John F. Tierney (D-Massachusetts) have been pressing for a subpoena to be issued to obtain this data from FHFA in order to evaluate the agency’s reasoning for prohibiting principal reductions on Fannie and Freddie’s loans.

The lawmakers cited public statements by high-level officials at the Federal Reserve, championing principal forgiveness as a viable solution for heading off defaults and foreclosures, and they questioned FHFA’s determination that reducing principal balances would not serve the best interests of the GSEs, taxpayers, and the housing market at large.

Edward DeMarco, acting director of FHFA, responded with a lengthy letter, supplemented with data charts, equations, and the findings of three separate staff analyses prepared over the past year.

He said FHFA did not conclude that “principal reduction never serves the long-term interest of the taxpayer when compared to foreclosure,” as the congressmen alleged. 

In considering principal forgiveness, FHFA compared taxpayer losses from principal forgiveness versus principal

forbearance, an alternate approach the GSEs currently use in which no interest is charged on a portion of the underwater amount.

In the event of a successful modification, FHFA determined that forbearance offers greater cash flows to the investor than forgiveness. The net result of the analysis is that forbearance achieves marginally lower losses for the taxpayer than forgiveness, although both forgiveness and forbearance reduce the borrower’s payment to the same affordable level, FHFA explained.

“Given that any money spent on this [principal forgiveness] endeavor would ultimately come from taxpayers and given that our analysis does not indicate a preservation of assets for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac substantial enough to offset costs, an expenditure of this nature at this time would, in my judgment, require congressional action,” DeMarco stated in his letter to Cummings and Tierney.

The FHFA director also pointed out that nearly 80 percent of the GSEs’ underwater borrowers were current on their mortgages as of June 30, 2011. Even among those deeply underwater, with loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) above 115 percent, DeMarco says 74 percent were current on their payments.

“Being underwater does not imply that a borrower lacks the ability or the desire to make good on their financial obligation, nor does it relieve a household from that responsibility,” DeMarco stated matter-of-factly in his letter to lawmakers.

For delinquent and deeply underwater borrowers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac offer loan modifications that include principal forbearance to relieve some of the debt burden. DeMarco says these modifications reduce monthly payments to the same affordable rate that would be in place with forgiveness.

For underwater borrowers who remain current on their mortgage, DeMarco notes that the agency made several changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) last October to open it up to more borrowers, allowing them to take advantage of today’s lower rates and shorten their mortgage term in order to get back above water more quickly.

“While it is not in the best interests of taxpayers for FHFA to require the [GSEs] to offer principal forgiveness to high LTV borrowers, a principal forgiveness strategy might reduce losses for other loan holders,” DeMarco conceded.

Loan Modifications Are on the Decline: Moody's
 
1/23/2012 - DS News
 

As robo-signing reviews reach completion, servicers are beginning to work through some of their foreclosure backlogs, according to a third-quarter report from Moody’s Investors Service.

Moody’s reports that as servicers work through the bulk of their delinquencies, modifications are on the decline. Servicers are now turning to loss mitigation alternatives, including short sales and deeds in lieu, Moody’s says.

Moody’s calculated a decline in “total cure and cash flowing,” measuring successful loss mitigation efforts in the third quarter. The decline “resulted from servicers having worked through significant portions of their eligible 60-plus delinquencies,” according to Moody’s.

Citi, GMAC, and Chase experienced the greatest decreases in cures.

Among subprime loans, Ocwen posted the highest cure rate – 44 percent. The high cure rate at Ocwen is linked to high numbers of modifications relative to its peers.

Moody’s notes that the high cure rate includes “a significant number of re-modifications,” which occur when an initial modification fails.

Ocwen saw re-defaults among 54.5 percent of its subprime modifications, the highest rate among its peers.

Ocwen was followed by Bank of America with a 50.5 percent re-default rate on modifications of subprime loans.

BofA also posted the highest rate of re-defaults of ALT-A loans (42.3 percent) and the second-highest re-default rate for jumbo loans (35 percent).

Consistent with its high re-default rate, Ocwen ranked highest for re-modifications of subprime loans. Ocwen’s re-modification rate for the third quarter was 24.8 percent. The second-highest re-modification rate was seen at Wells – 6.8 percent.

The high re-default and re-modification rates at Ocwen “calls into question Ocwen’s process in evaluating borrowers for a modification,” Moody’s states.

However, Moody’s also concedes, “not all of the first modifications were necessarily completed by Ocwen due to servicing acquisitions prior to the analysis period.”

Moody’s also reports foreclosure sale to REO liquidation timelines are little changed from the second to third quarter. However, Moody’s forecasts longer timelines throughout the year.

 
Mortgage Rates: How Low Can They Go?
 
1/19/2012 - DS News
 
Credit conditions may be tight, but for those who do qualify for a new home loan, the cost of borrowing has never been lower.

Data released Thursday by Freddie Mac shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage edged down to 3.88 percent (0.8 point) for the week ending January 19, to hit a new all-time low.

The previous record low for the 30-year rate was 3.89 percent, set just the week prior. Last year at this time, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was averaging 4.74 percent. It’s now come in below the 4.00 percent mark for seven consecutive weeks.

The 15-year fixed-mortgage rate was the only product included in Freddie Mac’s regular weekly survey to show upward movement, albeit by only one basis point. The

15-year rate rose from 3.16 percent last week to 3.17 percent (0.8 point) this week. A year ago, it was averaging 4.05 percent.

The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is now averaging 2.82 percent (0.7 point). That reading matches last week’s but is well below the year-ago average of 3.69 percent.

The average rate for a 1-year ARM came in at 2.74 percent (0.6 point) this week, down from 2.76 percent last week. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM was at 3.25 percent.

On the whole, Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, described mortgage rates as “nearly unchanged” this week in lieu of a mixed bag of economic data reports.

He points to retail sales on the consumer front, which edged up only 0.1 percent in December, which contrasts the Reuters/University of Michigan sentiment index as it continued to climb in January to the highest reading since February 2011.

“On the business side, industrial production rose 0.4 percent in December, slightly below the market consensus forecast, and the core producer price index rose faster than market expectations,” Nothaft noted.

The home construction sector also experienced positive indicators, Nothaft explained, with builder confidence rising for the fourth consecutive month in January to its highest level since June 2007.

Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Down From a Year Ago: LPS
 
1/19/2012 - DS News

Lender Processing Services
(LPS) has provided the media with a sneak peek at the results of its mortgage performance data through 2011.

As of the end of December, the company counted 6,167,000 borrowers behind on their mortgage payments, including those already in the process of foreclosure.

That tally is the culmination of a steady decline over the last year, with both the national delinquency rate and foreclosure rate down when compared to their December 2010 readings.

Delinquencies were unchanged between the months of November and December, but declined 7.7 percent from December 2010. LPS puts the mortgage delinquency rate, including loans 30 or more days past due but not in foreclosure, at 8.15 percent.

Foreclosures declined by 1.3 percent from November to December and are 1.0 percent below the level reported at the end of 2010. By LPS’ calculations, the national foreclosure inventory rate is 4.11 percent.

Of the 6,167,000 mortgages going unpaid in the United States, LPS says 2,066,000 are in foreclosure. The remaining 4,101,000 haven’t made it that far down the pipeline, even though 1,792,000 are 90 or more days delinquent.

States with the highest percentage of non-current loans, combining delinquencies and foreclosures, included Florida, Mississippi, Nevada, New Jersey, and Illinois as of the end of December.

The lowest percentage of non-current loans can be found in Montana, Wyoming, South Dakota, Alaska, and North Dakota.

 
Housing May Turn the Corner in 2012: CoreLogic
 
1/18/12 - DS News

CoreLogic’s chief economist Mark Fleming says housing statistics and the duration of the downturn to date indicate 2012 may be the year the housing market begins to turn the corner.

In the first release of CoreLogic’s new MarketPulse newsletter Wednesday, Fleming explained his rationale for such an assessment. 

He notes that housing is an industry with long business cycles. Regional housing recessions have typically taken anywhere from three to five years to find their bottom, and Fleming says the national housing recession has behaved similarly in that it has bounced along a bottom for the past two years.

Fleming points out that housing affordability is rising dramatically due to a combination of home price deflation and rock-bottom mortgage rates. In fact, he says, after adjusting for inflation, this has been a “lost decade” for housing as prices are the same as at the beginning of the millennium.

“The time is right in 2012 for prices to begin growing again,” Fleming said, “and housing affordability will put a floor under any further significant declines.”

Fleming says he will be watching the spring and summer buying season closely for positive signs of demand.

He points out that households are paying off their debts and at the same time accessing credit more easily, with some even adding Home Equity Lines of Credit in the third quarter of last year – the first such movement for these second-lien mortgage products since the financial crisis began.

Fleming cites a quarterly survey by the New York Federal Reserve Bank, which shows total household debt continues to decline. At the same time, consumer sentiment rebounded strongly in the latter part of 2011, posting a six-month high in December – an indication that consumers’ confidence in the strength of the economy is growing, according to Fleming.

Most housing statistics basically moved sideways in the latter part of 2011, but Fleming finds several positives in the numbers. Although market indicators are coming off of very low levels, he notes that both existing-home sales and single-family housing starts have begun to increase, homebuilder confidence is improving, and affordability is at an all-time high.

Putting all of these statistics together suggests that while there is a very long way to go, the housing market is likely to sustain these upward movements in 2012, according to Fleming.

“While we cannot say with a high degree of certainty what 2012 has in store for us, indications based on the latter part of 2011 are that both the broad economy and the housing market are moving toward positive growth in 2012,” Fleming said.

He concedes that some impediments do exist, including slower global economic growth, a recession in Europe, and fiscal and political uncertainty in the United States.

But Fleming says when you look at the big picture, “we are bullish on the prospect of improving economic performance in 2012 from 2011.”

 
Freddie Mac Approaches 2012 with 'Cautious Optimism'
 
1/18/12 - DS News
 

Freddie Mac expects a 2 percent to 5 percent increase in home sales in 2012 amid moderate economic growth over the year, according to the GSE’s U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for January.

Contributing to the anticipated rise in home sales are expectations that mortgage rates will remain near their current deflated levels and consumer confidence will pick up slightly.

Freddie Mac expects the economy to grow about 2.1 percent over the first quarter of this year and real gross domestic product growth to total 2.7 percent for the year.

Approaching the year with “cautious optimism,” Freddie Mac’s chief economist, Frank Nothaft, says, “There are some positive signs in the job market and consumer confidence; housing is starting to raise hopes for continued gradual economic recovery.”

“But the economy still is giving mixed messages,” he says.

For example, while the economy added 200,000 new jobs in December bringing the unemployment rate to its lowest level in almost three years, this positive movement is in part the result of seasonal hiring, and it “likely will be reversed in January,” according to Freddie Mac’s outlook.

The GSE also points out that the rate of underemployed workers improved 1.4 percent over the past year. 

Citing expectations of the Congressional Budget Office, Freddie Mac says unemployment will continue to linger at its current rate of 8.5 percent throughout the rest of this year.

Like unemployment, rising consumer confidence toward the end of 2011 may in part be seasonal.

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index posted its highest rate since April at the end of the year – 64.5.

The Small Business Optimism Index from the National Federation of Independent Business rose for the last four months of the year but remains lower than its January 2011 level.

The housing market finished the year with “seasonally subdued” prices, rising home sales in November, and a decline in inventory to a six to seven-month supply.

Citing a survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac points out that almost 80 percent of households say now is a good time to purchase a home, while 7.6 percent say now is a good time to sell.

“The housing-market recovery will be delayed as long as there remains a large gap between buyer and seller sentiment,” according to the GSE.

 
Fannie Mae Predicts 'Moderate Growth' in 2012
 
1/18/12 - DS News
 

The U.S. economy is projected to grow 2.3 percent for the year, according to Fannie Mae’s Economics & Mortgage Market Analysis Group.

Growth will be affected by “fiscal policy issues and political economic uncertainty,” according to Fannie Mae.

The upcoming presidential election, the healthcare debate, and the sovereign debt crisis in the euro zone are three wild cards causing concern for Americans. 

Recent improvements in employment have elevated consumers from their “summer rut,” and the housing market is showing some positive indicators, though movement is slow.

“We’re entering 2012 with decent momentum, especially on the employment side,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist.

However, Duncan suggests this momentum will fade over the first half of this year amid “policy changes and challenges that involve the global economy, the domestic economy, and the housing sector.”

Duncan predicts “a year of moderate growth edging away from the 2011 threat of a double dip.”

 
Las Vegas Breaks Yearly Home Sales Record
 
1/18/12 - DS News
 
Despite a decade-long trend making winter the slowest homebuying season for the Las Vegas area, the region saw an increase in existing home sales for the month of December, finishing the year strong enough to break the metro’s yearly existing home sale record from 2009, according to the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors.

The 2009 record was set with the sale of 46,879 homes, and 2011 surpassed this milestone with 48,186 sales.

Sales of single-family homes rose 10.9 percent year-over-year in December, while condo and townhome sales decreased by almost as much – 10.8 percent.

REOs made up 46 percent of existing home sales for the month, unchanged from November. Short sales accounted for nearly 27 percent of December’s transactions.

December’s rise in sales came with a decline in home prices, which was characteristic of 2011, according to the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors.

The median single-family home price in the Las Vegas area over the month of December fell 4 percent from November and 9.1 percent from one year ago.

The median sale price for the month was $120,000.

However, the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors anticipates rising prices this year.

“We may see some improvement in prices this year as our inventory of homes on the market keeps going down and demand stays high,” said Kolleen Kelley new president of the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors as of the start of 2012.

“We’re also seeing more short sales, which are preferable to foreclosures and sell for higher prices than homes that have gone through a foreclosure.” Kelley said.

Firms Launch $450M Program to Convert REOs Into Rentals   
 
1/18/12 - DS News
 

Government officials are in the process of reviewing 4,000-plus recommendations for turning repossessed homes into rental properties in order to trim the REO inventory held by federal housing agencies.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has said it is pursuing potential ideas for REO-to-rental pilot programs “with a sense of urgency,” but two California firms don’t plan to wait on the government’s involvement to get a large-scale REO rental venture off the ground.

Carrington Holding Company LLC announced Wednesday that it has entered into an agreement with certain investment funds managed by Oaktree Capital Management, L.P. that will fund an initial purchase of up to $450 million in distressed single-family homes across the country. 

“We believe that re-deploying vacant REO properties into rental homes is a way to help revitalize the housing market,” said Bruce Rose, Carrington’s founder and CEO.

Rose contends that reducing the number of distressed properties for sale will stabilize home prices and help neighborhoods that have been damaged by foreclosures begin the restoration process.

The bank-owned homes purchased through the venture will be managed as rental properties by Carrington. The company notes that there is growing market demand for rental units – demand that can be met through the industry’s effort to remove distressed properties from the sales inventory and stabilize the housing market.

Carrington currently manages over 3,000 single-family rental homes under Fannie Mae’s Tenant-in-Place and Deed-for-Lease programs. The company has developed a national field services network along with a proprietary software system that allows for centralized property monitoring and management.

“Carrington’s REO rental program is an excellent fit for our investment strategy, which includes a broad range of debt and equity investments in real estate-related investments and restructurings,” said John Brady, Oaktree’s head of global real estate. 

“We believe that this is not only a unique investment opportunity with few qualified large-scale competitors, but one that also has the potential to have a broader positive effect on the housing market and the overall economy,” Brady added.

AG Negotiations with Banks Linger on; Settlement Possibly Imminent
 
1/18/12 - DS News

After the estimations that the state attorneys general would reach a settlement with banks by Christmas failed to pan out, word today is the settlement is weeks away.

The negotiation talks between the state attorneys general and the nation’s five largest servicers are entering their second year, and a few attorneys general have already left the talks.

The banks and attorneys general are allegedly “very close” to a settlement, Reuters reported Wednesday, referencing remarks from HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan at a U.S. Conference of Mayors meeting.

The settlement currently on the table would assist about 1 million homeowners in obtaining principal reductions and would provide “direct compensation” to others, according to Reuters.

The settlement “would both fix the servicing problems, but also help over a million families around the country stay in their homes,” Donovan said, according to Reuters.

As settlement negotiations continue, a subset of 12 attorneys general reportedly met last week to discuss their own investigations into mortgage servicing and foreclosure practices, according to a Tuesday Bloomberg article.

California, New York, and Massachusetts attorneys general – all of whom left settlement negotiations to pursue their own investigations – were present.

 

Senator Criticizes OCC's Guidance on Foreclosed Properties    
 
1/17/12 - DS News

One Ohio congressman is taking the plight of homeowners in his foreclosure-ravaged state straight to federal regulators.

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) says guidance issued to mortgage servicers last month by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) amounts to “a free pass for banks to abandon foreclosed homes,” a practice Brown says undermines neighborhoods and property values and leaves local taxpayers on the hook for maintenance and cleanup costs.

In a letter to the OCC’s John Walsh, Brown pointedly states, “[Y]our guidance implicitly approves of the practice of having lenders ‘release a lien securing a defaulted loan rather than foreclose on the residential property.’”

The regulator’s guidelines explain that such a decision is based on financial considerations when the costs to foreclose, rehabilitate, and sell a property exceed its current fair-market value.

But Brown argues there’s more than financials to consider. In 2009, Brown called for a federal investigation into these so-called “bank walkaways.” The Government Account-

ability Office (GAO) responded and concluded that bank walkaways, though not a common practice nationwide, are focused in economically struggling areas and pose significant health, safety, and financial concerns.

Such a practice, according to Brown, should not be supported by the federal government.

“Too many Wall Street banks are walking away from too many Ohio Main Street communities,” Brown said. “And when they do, they leave behind homes that are often vandalized and left to crumble.”

Brown says responsible homeowners are seeing their property values plummet as abandoned homes in their neighborhood are left to decay. He cites a study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland which found that each vacant property in Cleveland could decrease the sales price of homes within 500 feet by about 3.1 percent.

Brown says the OCC’s guidance only serves to legitimize a practice that is unfair to homeowners and local communities. He’s calling for the agency to adopt important reforms to mitigate the damage caused by homes abandoned prior to foreclosure.

Where foreclosure is initiated on a property that the bank ultimately decides to release, Brown asserts the OCC should require servicers to complete the foreclosure and finance the cost of demolishing the home, or they should be required to transfer title of abandoned properties to governmental or nonprofit entities, such as land banks.

“Strong standards from the OCC will send a message that Wall Street must share in the responsibility to end the foreclosure crisis,” Brown wrote to Walsh.

The senator says preventing banks from walking away from properties will give servicers greater incentive to avoid unnecessary foreclosures and act in the best interest of the nation’s communities.

 

Vacant Foreclosures Saddle Local Communities With High Costs   
 
1/16/12 - DS News
 
A recent study from the Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that non-seasonal vacant properties across the United States rose 51 percent over the span of a decade, from nearly 7 million in 2000 to 10 million in April 2010.

Ten states saw vacancies go up by 70 percent or more, largely as a result of high foreclosure rates. Those with the largest increases over the last decade were Nevada (126 percent), Minnesota (100 percent), New Hampshire (99 percent), Arizona (92 percent), and Florida (90 percent). Georgia, Michigan, Colorado, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts also experienced increases above 70 percent.

The elevated number of vacant homes carries with it a hefty price tag for lenders that must resume ownership after foreclosure. GAO found that in 2010, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reimbursed servicers and vendors over $953 million for property maintenance costs.

However, it’s local governments, many of which are already dealing with depleted funds, that are feeling “significant” pressures from the rise in home vacancies, according to GAO.

The agency notes that other studies have concluded vacant foreclosed properties may reduce prices of nearby homes by as much as $17,000 per property. As a result, municipalities report being out millions of dollars in lost tax revenues. That’s in addition to extra expenditures to put staff, systems, and programs in place to ensure local property ordinances are met, as well as costs associated with addressing public safety issues posed by extended periods of vacancy or improper property maintenance.

In conducting its analysis, GAO interviewed local officials and representatives of community groups to gauge the causal effect of foreclosures on vacancy numbers, the types

of costs associated with vacant properties, and state and local governments’ responses to rising vacancies.

Local contacts pointed to the surge in foreclosures, high unemployment levels and, in some cities, population declines as factors contributing to the increase in vacant properties.

Officials in Tucson and Las Vegas say they did not have difficulty managing the vacant properties in their cities prior to the surge in foreclosures that began in 2006.

In Detroit and Cleveland, officials contend that elevated foreclosure numbers continue to add to the already large number of vacant properties in their cities.

Some servicers and the GSEs told GAO that between 10 and 20 percent of properties are vacant at the time they initiate foreclosure, and by the completion of a foreclosure sale, about 40 percent to 50 percent are vacant.

GAO says the localities it studied are all engaged in multiple strategies to try to minimize the costs and other negative impacts that vacant properties create for their communities.

Efforts range from simple data-gathering to more precisely identifying vacant properties, to acquisition and rehabilitation or, in some cases, demolition of abandoned properties.

In addition, some local governments have tasked servicers with additional responsibilities for maintaining properties, amended their code enforcement rules to establish greater incentives for property maintenance, and established specialized housing courts to address vacant property and other housing issues.

These strategies, however, face various challenges, particularly the lack of financial support to effectively address such a large-scale problem, according to GAO.

As a result, governments in many of the communities GAO examined are reaching out to members of the community – including neighborhood groups and private developers – in an attempt to leverage all available resources.

In addition, local governments have called for increased federal funding and greater attention by federal regulators to servicers’ role in managing vacant properties.

GAO’s full report on home vacancies and their impact on local communities is available online.

New York AG Allots $1M to Foreclosure Prevention
 
January 2012
 
Following an expiration of federal funding for foreclosure prevention in New York, the state’s Attorney General Eric Schneiderman allotted $1 million to foreclosure prevention services.
 

Schneiderman’s office will distribute the funding to nonprofit and legal aid services aimed at helping homeowners facing foreclosure.

Schneiderman released a request for applications from legal organizations aiming to help struggling homeowners last week.

“This funding will provide thousands of New Yorkers with the legal expertise they desperately need to defend their rights and avoid falling prey to unscrupulous mortgage servicers or foreclosure mill law firms filing fabricated or robosigned documents,” Schneiderman stated.

Currently, about one in 10 mortgages is at risk of foreclosure in the state of New York, according to Schneiderman’s office.

Schneiderman “has made it a top priority of his administration to hold accountable those whose misconduct led to the collapse of the housing market– and to provide significant relief to homeowners,” stated a press release announcing the funding.

Not only does foreclosure prevention help struggling homeowners, but according to the Empire Justice Center, it also helps the state itself.

The Empirical Justice Center suggests that at the current rate, foreclosures will cost New York’s local governments about $5 billion with $186,695 in both direct and indirect costs per county.

The designated $1 million is a portion of unspent money from a 2006 settlement with Ameriquest Mortgage over predatory and illegal lending. Ameriquest paid a total of $295 million with New York receiving $22 million.

Investors Can Trim Losses by Discriminating Between Servicers: Report   
 
January 2012
 
The ratings agency Standard & Poor’s says investors can cut their losses by basing servicer selection on key performance metrics of default management.
 
residential mortgage servicer performance that looks at how the speed of the servicers’ foreclosure processes and the success of their loan modification programs affect investors’ losses on nonperforming loans.

S&P says it’s found “significant differences” among 10 of the largest servicers – differences that could save investors up to 7.3 months of interest payments on loans that eventually default.

Servicers’ average liquidation speeds can differ by several months, according to S&P, leading to variations in loss severity primarily due to differences in the number of payments borrowers miss.

Loan modification programs can also have a big impact on overall losses from a loan pool, S&P says. Servicers’ rates of successful modifications, as a percentage of all nonperforming loans, ranged from 3 percent to 18 percent for the servicers in S&P’s sample.

The ratings agency did not list the servicers by name in this inaugural performance assessment study, although it intends to do so in future reports.

“The continuing slump in the U.S. housing market has highlighted the crucial role of mortgage servicers, which

administer all aspects of these loans — from collecting payments, to modifying troubled loans, to proceeding with foreclosures and property liquidations when borrowers default,” S&P said in its report.

“Ultimately, a mortgage servicer’s success from an investor perspective boils down to defaults within its portfolio of mortgages and the speed and volume of any recoveries it can achieve on those loans,” S&P noted.

The ratings agency noted that both foreclosure frequencies and loss severities are functions of a myriad of factors, and many of those factors are out of the servicer’s control — including the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, state-specific foreclosure requirements, and the quality of the underwriting at origination, as well as changing property valuations in a volatile market.

For this reason, S&P looked at each servicer’s speed through the foreclosure and resolution process against averages for the related states and loan types, as well as the success of the servicer’s loan modification program.

Long foreclosure periods typically increase losses due to the interest advanced each month, as well as taxes and insurance that may need to be paid and property preservation costs.

To complement its analysis of liquidation speeds, S&P also assessed the success of each servicer’s loan modification programs. Overall, the agency found that “loan modifications were successful more often than not.” On average, S&P found about 60 percent of modified loans were still current 12 months after being modified.

S&P says the extent to which servicers are able to modify loans — and the terms of those modifications — can vary based on servicing agreements and government program rules.

“While these factors limit the efficacy of modification success rates as a measure of a servicer’s overall success, we believe that paired with liquidation speeds, these factors help provide a more complete picture of the merits of the various servicers’ strategies,” S&P said.

 
 
JPMorgan Posts $19B Annual Profit Despite Housing Hangover
 
January 2012
 
JPMorgan Chase kicked off the earnings reporting season for major U.S. lenders on Friday with its announcement that the company earned a record profit of $19 billion for the 2011 fiscal year. That compares with $17.4 billion in net income for the prior year. Earnings per share were $4.48 for 2011.
 

The company reported net income of $3.7 billion for the fourth quarter of 2011, compared with $4.8 billion for the fourth quarter of 2010.

Although the numbers paint a picture of a company in full recovery mode from the financial crisis and recession, JPMorgan’s latest results missed analysts’ expectations as

the company continues to struggle with legacy issues stemming from the housing downturn.

Mortgage net charge-offs and delinquencies modestly improved over the final quarter of 2011, but both remained at elevated levels, the New York-based lender noted in its earnings report.

JPMorgan’s total nonperforming assets declined by 33 percent compared to a year earlier, but legal wranglings involving mortgages and investors’ repurchase demands cut heavily into the company’s profits.

The company doled out more than $3 billion in 2011 to cover legal proceedings related to its mortgage business. That tally marks a decline from the $5.7 billion that was laid down in 2010 but still represents a hefty sum of what could have gone to boosting the bottom line.

CEO Jamie Dimon says the company set aside $528 million in the final quarter of last year alone to address mortgage-related legal issues.

The handling of foreclosures and defaulted mortgages also carried a steep price tag. In the fourth quarter, JPMorgan’s cost related to this part of the business added up to $925 million.

“There’s still a huge drag [from housing issues],” CEO Jamie Dimon told investors. “You’re talking about several billion dollars a year in mortgage [operations] alone.”

Foreclosure Starts Decline on West Coast
 
January 2012
 
West coast states saw a decline in foreclosure starts in December, according to ForeclosureRadar. In fact four of the five states tracked by ForeclosureRadar’s monthly survey saw double-digit declines.
 

The exception was Oregon, where foreclosure starts rose by 5 percent.

Foreclosure sales in the West coast states were mixed but “down far less than we expected given lender announcements of holiday moratoriums,” ForeclosureRadar reported.

Foreclosure sales rose in California and Washington and fell in Oregon, Nevada, and Arizona.

Foreclosure timelines declined overall, which was “surprising,” according to California-based ForeclosureRadar.

The greatest drop in foreclosure timeline was seen in California, where the time to foreclose is now 250 days, a 16.9 percent drop from November.

After a 3.2 percent decline, Nevada’s 331 day foreclosure timeline was the greatest, while Washington’s 104-day timeline was the lowest. Washington also posted the lowest rate of change for the month – a 0.9 percent increase.

Arizona’s timeline also increased in December, rising to 145 days after a 2.1 percent increase.

With a 30.6 percent drop, California posted the greatest decline in foreclosure starts in December. Arizona followed with a 24.2 percent decline.

ForeclosureRadar reported a 45.8 percent rise in foreclosure cancellations in December, which it attributes to the closing of a trustee sale location in Norwalk.

Affecting foreclosures in Nevada, which declined 14 percent in December, is a new law requiring lenders to file an additional affidavit.

“Nevada’s new foreclosure rules appear on track to bring a near complete halt to foreclosures in that state.” stated Sean O’Toole, Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.

 
Biggest Risk for RMBS Investors? Strategic Defaults.
 
January 2012
 
The credit performance of private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the U.S. continues to face many challenges in 2012, with the biggest risk posed by strategic defaults, according to Moody’s Investors Service.
 

Despite what’s expected to be a year of anything but calm waters ahead, in its annual outlook released Thursday, Moody’s says the performance of loan pools backing outstanding RMBS has begun to stabilize. As a result, Moody’s 2012 loss expectations for U.S. RMBS are mostly unchanged.

“Although delays in loan liquidation timelines and an increase in distressed sales will continue to dampen housing prices and limit recoveries on delinquent loans, they will not have a material impact on RMBS recoveries, given our already high loss expectations on RMBS pools,” explained Debash Chatterjee, a Moody’s associate managing director.

Delinquency levels among loan pools have been flat or even dropping largely because of loan modifications, according to the ratings agency. Moody’s notes that re-default rates on modified loans have also been declining, largely because payment reductions in the modifications have gotten larger.

Strategic defaults, however, will continue to pose a big risk for RMBS in 2012, as housing prices continue to decline, according to Moody’s.

The ratings agency perceives the risk as greatest in the prime jumbo sector, where more than half of the borrowers, who have so far been making their mortgage payments regularly, are now underwater on their mortgages. Moody’s says negative equity among prime jumbo borrowers has “risen significantly” since late 2010.

The subprime sector, on the other hand, faces the lowest potential for significant performance deterioration in 2012, namely because more of its weaker borrowers have already defaulted, leaving less room for losses to increase substantially.

Moody’s says the risk of performance deterioration in the Alt-A and option ARM sectors is less than that of the jumbo but greater than that of the subprime sectors, with option ARM loans facing the greater risk of strategic defaults.

“The practices of the servicers will continue to play a major role in determining loan performance,” commented William Fricke, a Moody’s VP and senior credit officer.

“Although modifications that include principal forgiveness are a key way to prevent strategic defaults, we continue to expect servicers to be reluctant to employ principal forgiveness, given that the GSEs do not permit it, and that many private label RMBS carry provisions limiting the practice.”

Servicing is undergoing a transformation, however, as servicers establish single points of contact for delinquent borrowers and increasingly transfer servicing to special servicers – both of which Moody’s considers to be credit positives.

The ratings agency expects the issuance of private-label RMBS to be modest in 2012, owing to GSE dominance and regulatory uncertainty. 

The deals that do take place, Moody’s believes, will feature more comprehensive reviews of originators, better quality and more reliable loan level data, and strong mechanisms for enforcing breaches of representations and warranties (R&Ws).  They will also better address legal issues relating to foreclosure challenges.

 
 
 
Foreclosures in Most of Top 20 Metros Decline From Past Two Years
 
January 2012
 
With Atlanta as the exception, all of the metro areas on RealtyTrac’s top 20 list for foreclosure rates in 2011 demonstrated declines in foreclosures from both of the previous two years.
 

Foreclosure filings in the Atlanta area in 2011 were 2 percent higher than in 2009.

Atlanta took the No. 12 spot on the top 20 list for the year with a 3.69 percent foreclosure rate.

Half of the metros in RealtyTrac’s list top 20 foreclosure rates for 2011 were located in California.  The California metro with the highest foreclosure rate for the year was Stockton, which came in second on the top 20 list with a rate of 5.43 percent.

California metros also took the third, fourth, and fifth spots on the top 20 list: Modesto (5.20 percent), Vallejo-Fairfield (5.2 percent), and Riverside-San Bernardino (5.16 percent).

Las Vegas had the highest foreclosure rate in 2011 among metro areas with populations of at least 200,000. About one in 14 homes – 7.38 percent – received at least one foreclosure filing in the Las Vegas area over the year.

However, Nevada’s foreclosures declined sharply from the third quarter to the fourth quarter after the implementation of a law mandating lenders file an additional affidavit in order to initiate the foreclosure process.

With Arizona posting the second-highest foreclosure rates among the states, Phoenix also maintained an elevated foreclosure rate of 3.69 percent, earning it the No. 6 spot on the top 20 list.

 
 
Help is coming in March for underwater homeowners
January 2012
 
A long-awaited federal program will soon allow more Phoenix-area homeowners  to refinance their mortgages and lower their payments in spite of owing far more  than their homes are now worth.

The expansion of the Home Affordable Refinancing Plan will allow for new home  loans in March, according to new details from the U.S. Department of Housing and  Urban Development, and homeowners are already lining up to apply.

President Barack Obama announced the plan in October, and borrowers have  awaited the details since.

The program targets homeowners who bought during the housing boom and have  been unable to refinance up until now because their homes are no longer worth  enough to secure a new mortgage through traditional refinancing.

An earlier version of HARP allowed homeowners with mortgages backed by two  federal loan agencies to refinance, but only if their new loans were no more  than 125 percent of their home's current value. In metro Phoenix, where values  have plunged by more than half since the market's peak in 2006, that limit left  many borrowers out.

The update to the program, which lenders refer to as HARP 2.0, lifts that  loan-to-value restriction completely.

The goal is to help homeowners save money and fend off foreclosures by  lowering payments.

For a typical $250,000 mortgage, a switch from a 6 percent rate to current  rates of about 4 percent would cut the monthly payment by about $300.

Matt Oliver of Peoria-based Lund Mortgage said despite the delay, some bigger  banks have already refinanced borrowers deeply underwater and are now holding  the loans, waiting to turn them over to the federal mortgage agencies Fannie Mae  and Freddie Mac.

Albert Hasson was able to get his bank, Flagstar, to approve a refinance on  his Phoenix-area home in late December even though the refinancing program was  stalled at the time.

"The expanded HARP program is only semistalled," Hasson said.

He said other homeowners should call their servicers now to see if they can  be approved early.

Home Price Declines Consistent Across the Country
 
January 2012
 
Marking the fifth consecutive month of decline, home prices fell 0.8 percent in October, matching levels last seen in 2002, according to Lender Processing Services’ (LPS) Home Price Index released Wednesday. As of October, the national home price average was $200,000
 

The year-to-date decline in October was 2.7 percent.

According to preliminary data, LPS estimates prices in November declined about 0.5 percent.

While LPS has tracked persistent declines since the market peak in June 2006, its analysts report price declines have slowed in the past few years.

The greatest declines were seen between June 2007 and December 2008 when prices fell $56,000.

Since then prices have fallen about $26,000, and declines have been interspersed with small seasonal upticks. These upticks, however, have not played an impactful role in price trends. Since 2009, prices have fallen an average of 4.2 percent per year.

The LPS index noted that price declines were consistent across the country. In fact, prices fell in October in 403 out of the 409 metro areas LPS tracks.

The five metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) posting the greatest declines over the month were all located in Georgia.

Other metros with notable declines were located in California, Nevada, and Connecticut – a state previously unseen on LPS’ list of worst-performing MSAs.

Of the 26 largest metropolitan statistical areas, 24 experienced price declines in October.

Price increases occurred in metros located in Arizona, Florida, and Michigan.

Comparing year-to-date prices, Atlanta and the West Coast experienced the most notable declines. Prices fell 21.8 percent in Atlanta from the beginning of 2011 through October.

Additionally, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Seattle have all seen declines of 5.1 percent.

Detroit and Pittsburgh encountered the greatest increases year-to-date as of October, posting increases of 9.6 percent and 2.2 percent respectively.

LPS also noted in its recent index that price declines varied somewhat between higher-priced and lower-priced houses.

The highest priced homes, making up the top 1 percent of homes, declined 0.7 percent, while the lowest priced homes, the bottom 20 percent of the market, declined 0.9 percent.

 
New REO Inventory in 2011 = 804,423 Homes
 
January 2012
 
RealtyTrac’s year-end report released Thursday shows foreclosure filings – including default, auction, and bank repossession notices – were reported on 1,887,777 U.S. properties in 2011. Of that total, 804,423 homes were taken back by lenders as REO.
 

Last year’s tally of nearly 1.9 million properties with a foreclosure filing seems staggering, but it’s actually the lowest reported since 2007. It’s 34 percent below 2010, 33 percent below 2009, and 19 percent below the 2008 total.

RealtyTrac’s newly appointed CEO Brandon Moore describes foreclosure activity last year as being in “full delay mode.”

“The lack of clarity regarding many of the documentation and legal issues plaguing the foreclosure industry means that we are continuing to see a highly dysfunctional foreclosure process that is inefficiently dealing with delinquent mortgages – particularly in states with a judicial foreclosure process,” Moore said.

These delays, however, may be coming to an end. Moore says there were strong signs in the second half of 2011 that indicate lenders are finally beginning to push stalled foreclosures through in select local markets.

“We expect that trend to continue this year, boosting foreclosure activity for 2012 higher than it was in 2011, though still below the peak of 2010,” Moore said.

Despite signs that some markets are experiencing a pickup in foreclosures, RealtyTrac’s analysis shows that processing timelines continued to increase. 

On the national stage, properties foreclosed in the fourth quarter took an average of 348 days to complete the process, up from 336 days in the third quarter and up from 305 days in the fourth quarter of 2010.

RealtyTrac says the length of the average foreclosure process has increased 24 percent from the third quarter of 2010, when lenders began to re-evaluate foreclosure procedures as a result of documentation and affidavit errors.

New York holds the title of ‘longest foreclosure process in the nation’ – an average of 1,019 days.

New Jersey documented the nation’s second longest end-to-end foreclosure process, at 964 days. Florida has the third longest at 806 days. Foreclosure activity in both these states dropped more than 60 percent from 2010 to 2011.

All three states with the longest foreclosure timelines employ the judicial foreclosure process.

Texas continues to register the shortest average foreclosure process of any state, at 90 days, but that still represents an increase from 86 days in the third quarter and 81 days in the fourth quarter of 2010.

At 106 days, Delaware has the second shortest foreclosure timeline in the nation, and Kentucky lays claim to the third shortest, at 108 days.

More than 6 percent of Nevada housing units (one in 16) had at least one foreclosure filing in 2011, giving it the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate for the fifth consecutive year. That’s despite a 31 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from 2010.

Arizona registered the nation’s second highest foreclosure rate for the third year in a row, with 4.14 percent of its homes (one in 24) receiving at least one filing in 2011.

California registered the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate for all of 2011, with 3.19 percent (one in every 31 homes).

Other states with 2011 foreclosure rates ranking among the nation’s 10 highest include: Georgia (2.71 percent), Utah (2.32 percent), Michigan (2.21 percent), Florida (2.06 percent), Illinois (1.95 percent), Colorado (1.78 percent), and Idaho (1.77 percent).

Fannie Mae Extends Mortgage Relief for Unemployed Borrowers
 
January 2012
 
Fannie Mae issued new guidelines to its servicers Wednesday, introducing an unemployment forbearance program which provides servicers the flexibility to assist borrowers who have a financial hardship due to job loss, including those facing imminent default.
 

With unemployment forbearance, the servicer reduces or suspends monthly payments for a specified period for a borrower who is unemployed.

With the new guidelines, the servicer can approve an unemployment forbearance term of six months without

obtaining Fannie Mae’s approval, provided that all borrower eligibility requirements are met.

If during the final month of the initial unemployment forbearance period, the borrower remains unemployed, the servicer must determine if the borrower is eligible for an extension no more than six additional months.

Forbearance extensions may be recommended on a case-by-case basis and must be submitted to Fannie Mae for review and a final decision.

The new directive from Fannie Mae mirrors the unemployed forbearance guidelines issued by Freddie Mac last week.

Fannie Mae says the program “simplifies and streamlines the use of forbearance options” for the GSE’s servicers.

The new guidelines prohibit the servicer from proceeding with foreclosure during the forbearance period.

Servicers are required to implement Fannie Mae’s unemployment forbearance policies and procedures no later than March 1, 2012, for borrowers who become eligible for such assistance on or after that date. However, the D.C.-based GSE is encouraging all servicers to adapt their processes to the program guidelines immediately.

 
 
Justice Department Issues Report in Support of Foreclosure Mediation
 
January 2012
 
The U.S. Department of Justice released a 69-page report Tuesday on a foreclosure intervention method that is becoming increasingly popular across the country – mediation.
 

The paper, titled Foreclosure Mediation: Emerging Research and Evaluation Practices, draws from a March 7, 2011 workshop put on by the Justice Department’s Access to Justice Initiative, a panel established in 2010 which works to ensure the U.S. justice system remains accessible and fair to all, irrespective of wealth and status.

The workshop was attended by dozens of foreclosure mediation program stakeholders and researchers. Tuesday’s report summarizes the workshop proceedings and shares recent research and resources for foreclosure mediation.

“The loss of a home to foreclosure can be devastating to a family,” said Mark Childress, who heads the Access to Justice Initiative as senior counselor.

“The report released today compiles the best available research on foreclosure mediation programs and serves as an important resource for existing programs around the

country as well as for jurisdictions attempting to establish foreclosure mediation programs,” Childress said. “Well-structured foreclosure mediation programs may offer the millions of families at risk of foreclosure a way to stay in their homes.”

Foreclosure mediation programs are viewed by policymakers and consumer advocates as a means to bring borrowers and their lenders together to work out an alternative to foreclosure. But some industry participants contend that mandated mediation programs only delay the inevitable.

Florida’s Supreme Court terminated its state-wide mediation program last month, citing the program’s lack of success in resolving foreclosure disputes between lenders and borrowers. The court-run mediation program had been operational for two years, but the Supreme Court said after reviewing the files, it “determined it cannot justify continuation of the program.”

As the Justice Department suggests, there has not been a lot of research or analysis conducted to assess the effectiveness of foreclosure mediation. Officials say the department’s March 2011 workshop was designed to define best practices for evaluating foreclosure mediation programs and to strengthen relationships among program administrators, the lending community, and government agencies.

One of the key findings that emerged from the workshop is that the “federal government should take an active role, both in helping to develop program and evaluation guidelines and in providing resources for mediation programs and research,” according to DOJ officials.

 
Loan Mods and Delinquencies Rise in November: HOPE NOW
 
January 2012
 
The number of mortgage modifications completed during the month of November rose 5 percent from October, bringing the year-to-date total to about 969,000, according to HOPE NOW, a voluntary private sector alliance of mortgage industry participants.
 

Proprietary modifications continue to outpace modifications completed through the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). Of the nearly 84,000 modifications completed in November, 57,000 were proprietary while 26,877 were completed through HAMP.

Of the 5.13 million modifications that have been completed since 2007 when HOPE NOW began reporting data, 4.22 have been proprietary and a little more than 900,000 were completed through HAMP.

While completed modifications rose from October to November, 60-plus day delinquencies also increased. After reporting 2.65 million 60-plus day delinquencies in October, HOPE NOW reported 2.77 million in November.

Foreclosure starts, on the other hand, declined in November from 209,000 to 166,000.

Completed foreclosure sales rose from 64,000 in October to 71,000 in November.

About 68 percent of proprietary modifications completed in November reduced principal and interest payments for borrowers, and about 66 percent lowered principal and interest payments by at least 10 percent.

About 83 percent of proprietary modifications were fixed-rate modifications with an initial fixed period of at least five years.

“There are more alternatives to foreclosure than ever before for homeowners through federal programs, proprietary modifications, and state level initiatives such as Hardest Hit Funds,” said Faith Schwartz, executive director of HOPE Now.

“Mortgage servicers and non-profit, housing counselors are using all tools at their disposal to find options that fit each individual homeowner’s situation whenever possible,” Schwartz said.

According to Schwartz, the industry continues to emphasize “improving the customer experience through enhanced technology, single point of contact and leveraging all tools available to assist with foreclosure prevention, which in some cases includes graceful exits.”

HOPE NOW plans to host homeowner outreach events in several cities in the first quarter of 2011, including: Charlotte, North Carolina; Miami and Tampa, Florida; Las Vegas, Nevada; and Sacramento and Los Angeles, California.

HAMP Mods Pass 900,000 as Servicers Tackle Seconds, Negative Equity
 
January 2012
 
The Treasury Department released a new report Monday highlighting the results of its flagship Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). Nearly 910,000 homeowners have received a permanent HAMP modification to date, saving an estimated $9.9 billion in monthly mortgage payments.
 

Treasury says borrowers now entering HAMP have a better chance of earning a permanent modification and realizing long-term success. Eighty-three percent of eligible homeowners that signed on to HAMP since June 2010 have received a permanent modification, with an average trial period of 3.5 months.

Treasury’s report stressed that the latest mortgage performance report from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency found that HAMP has proven more sustainable for homeowners than industry modifications. Because of HAMP’s emphasis on affordability relative to a homeowner’s income and successful completion of a trial payment period, the OCC says 70.5 percent of HAMP-modified loans remain current, versus 57.6 percent of other proprietary modifications.

In releasing the latest numbers, Raphael Bostic, HUD assistant secretary, said when you compare today’s data to market data from 2009, “…it’s clear that we’ve made important progress in recovering from this housing crisis.”

Treasury’s report indicates there are 891,542 more borrowers who are currently delinquent and eligible for HAMP assistance.

Bostic says with so many homeowners still struggling to pay their mortgages, “[t]here is still a lot of work to do.”

He says the administration will continue to press servicers to make use of other government housing programs to assist underwater borrowers, as well as the unemployed.

HAMP’s Principal Reduction Alternative (PRA) requires servicers of non-GSE loans to evaluate program applicants for a principal reduction when the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is 115 percent or greater. Servicers, however, are not required to reduce principal as part of the modification.

Through November 2011, 38,243 permanent PRA modifications had been granted, with another 15,875 PRA trials in active status. Among active permanent PRA mods, servicers have reduced borrowers’ principal by a median 31.3 percent, or $66,308.

Bank of America leads the way, with 10,940 permanent PRA mods started.

Treasury’s Making Home Affordable Unemployment Program (UP) provides a temporary forbearance to homeowners who’ve lost their jobs. Under Treasury guidelines, unemployed homeowners must be considered for a minimum of 12 months’ forbearance. So far, servicers have initiated 16,633 UP forbearance plans.

The government’s Second Lien Modification Program (2MP) was also prominently featured in this month’s report. Treasury says 47 percent of eligible second liens have received a 2MP modification, with many of the remaining second liens still in the evaluation process, awaiting homeowner response to the 2MP offer, or awaiting conversion of the first lien HAMP trial to permanent status.

Servicer participation in 2MP is voluntary. Six of the 10 largest servicers currently take part in the second-lien program. Treasury’s report shows 54,828 2MP mods have been started, with nearly 10,000 of those resulting in full extinguishment of the second lien.

The median amount of fully extinguished liens is $60,688. Homeowners in 2MP save a median of $163 per month on their second mortgage, in addition to the savings realized from the modification of their first mortgage under HAMP.

Over one-third of 2MP borrowers reside in California (35 percent), followed by Florida (9 percent) and New York (6 percent).

 
Phoenix-area housing may be on the mend
 
January 2012
 
Date from  the end of 2011 suggest that a housing-market recovery has begun in metro  Phoenix.
The upswing in the market will surprise many because it comes less than five  months after the region's existing-home prices fell to their lowest level since  1999. But even at last year's low point in August, when the median home price  fell to $112,000, many market indicators pointed to an increase in the area's  home prices by year-end. Now, it appears they were right.
 

The median price of a metro Phoenix home rose to $120,000 in December, its  highest level since November 2010, according to the Information Market, a  real-estate data firm. That was the first December since 2005 that the region's  median price didn't drop.

The number of home sales in 2011 climbed to their highest level since the  housing market's peak in 2006. Foreclosures fell to their lowest level since  2008. And the number of Phoenix-area homes listed for sale has dropped to a  figure not seen since 2005, indicating demand is finally exceeding supply. This  is a complete turnaround from 2007, when the housing crash started and cheap  foreclosure homes flooded the market while buyers were few.

Now, investors are snatching up both foreclosure and short-sale houses at a record pace.  Regular buyers, who need a mortgage to purchase a home, are having a hard time  competing with cash-paying investors.

"The housing market definitely saw the bottom in August or September of last  year," said Mike Orr, new director of the Center for Real Estate Theory and  Practice at the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University.

He continues as publisher of the "Cromford Report," an online daily  real-estate market analysis. "I talked to 200 Realtors the other day, and almost  all were much more positive about Phoenix's housing market then they were just  two months ago."

Experts agree on roughly what a healthy market looks like: The number of home  listings holds steady, and sales keep pace. Foreclosures are few, and median  sales prices inch up steadily, but not so quickly that they become volatile.

The end of 2011 began to look more like that ideal than it has in recent  years.

Home sales climbed to almost 95,000 in 2011, a near-record for annual resales  in metro Phoenix.

During the boom, annual sales climbed above 150,000, although more than  60,000 of those deals were for new homes. Now, new-home sales are averaging  about 600 a month.

Arizona homebuilding analyst R.L. Brown said the construction of new houses  won't pick up until the supply of inexpensive foreclosure homes dries up. New  homebuilding could increase this year if foreclosures continue to slow.

The number of homes listed for sale in metro Phoenix is down to 25,000,  compared with 43,000 a year ago, according to Cromford. Only 9 percent of the  homes on the market are lender-owned foreclosures. A year ago, 20 percent of the  homes were foreclosures that lenders were trying to sell inexpensively.

Foreclosures started to climb in late 2007 and peaked in 2010 at almost  50,000. Last year, the number of homes taken back by lenders fell by 16 percent  from the year before. Pre-foreclosures steadily fell in 2011, so foreclosures  could fall again this year.

It has been a year of ups and downs for the region's housing market, making  it more difficult to predict or time a recovery.

One month, home sales were down and prices were up, while the next month  foreclosures might tick up as home sales climbed.

Metro Phoenix's housing market became fragmented during the crash.  Inexpensive homes sold more quickly than luxury houses during the past few years, keeping the area's median home prices  lower.

The market has also reverted to being driven largely by location. A house in  north Phoenix might go for the asking price, while a house farther out in Queen  Creek or Buckeye might sell in a short sale for half of what the owner owed.

Some market watchers still don't believe a real recovery has started.

Phoenix real-estate agent Brett Barry with HomeSmart thinks "lenders are just  kicking the can down the road," drawing out the foreclosure process so the  market looks better than it is actually doing.

"Any stabilization in 2011 is a temporary bottom," he said. "Banks are now  letting many owners miss 24 to 36 payments before finally foreclosing. This is a  sea change as these homes don't appear on any radar screens until they do  foreclose."

He thinks those potential foreclosures will drive down prices more.

Early in 2011, the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service's pending- sales  index showed metro Phoenix's median home price would fall to $100,000. It didn't  drop that much, although it did fall to $112,000 after hovering around $115,000  for the first six months of last year.

But now that the region's median is climbing up, foreclosures and listings  are down and sales are at a nearly record pace, a growing number of real-estate  analysts say the market recovery has started.

"Six months ago, we saw a drop in prices coming. But based on other  indicators, it was obviously going to be temporary," said Tom Ruff, analyst with  the Information Market. "Now, we are finally seeing year-over-year gains in  pricing and sales. The housing market's recovery is on track."

Thirty-Year Fixed-Rate Matches All-Time Low
 
January 2012
 
Fixed mortgage rates started the year at or near their all-time record lows, according to market data published by Freddie Mac Thursday.
 
e GSE reports the interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 3.91 percent (0.8 point) for the week ending January 5, 2012. That’s down from 3.95 percent the previous week and matches the record low set just two weeks earlier.

This marks the fifth consecutive week the 30-year rate has come in below the 4.00 percent mark. To put things into perspective, last year at this time, it was averaging 4.77 percent.

The 15-year fixed-rate averaged 3.23 percent (0.8 point) in Freddie Mac’s survey this week, down from 3.24 percent the week prior.

The current average rate on a home loan with a 15-year fixed term is just two basis points above its all-time low of 3.21 percent, which was hit in two weeks during the month of December. A year ago, the average 15-year rate was at 4.13 percent.

Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, attributed the declines seen among fixed rates to recent data reports which indicate the housing market and manufacturing industry are showing signs of improvement.

“Pending existing home sales in November jumped 7.3 percent, nearly five times greater than the market consensus forecast, to its strongest pace since April 2010,” Nothaft noted.

“In addition,” he said, “construction spending rose 1.2 percent in November, supported by the residential sector which exhibited its fourth consecutive monthly increase. Similarly, manufacturing expanded in December at the fastest pace in six months.”

Freddie Mac’s report shows the 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) came in at 2.86 percent (0.7 point) this week, down from 2.88 percent. This time last year, the 5-year ARM was averaging 3.75 percent.

The GSE’s survey puts the 1-year ARM at 2.80 percent (0.6 point). It was the only loan product included in the GSE’s study to head higher, up from 2.78 percent last week. Flip the calendar back 12 months, and the 1-year ARM was averaging 3.24 percent.

Recovery Will Be 'Lengthy' and 'Gradual': Report
 
January 2012
 
At a national level, the housing market is on the mend, but recovery will be slow this year with little overall change, according to the latest quarterly VeroFORECAST report released Thursday by Veros Real Estate Solutions.
 
“The good news is that many markets are no longer expected to be radically declining, said Eric Fox, VP of statistical and economic modeling at Veros.

“We continue to be consistent in saying that the recovery will be a lengthy and gradual one,” he said.

Throughout 2012, Veros expects the strongest markets to experience a 4 percent price increase and the weakest markets to experience 5 percent to 6 percent decreases.

The strongest markets are located in the Great Plains and include North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Texas, and Louisiana.

Fargo and Bismark, North Dakota are projected to see the greatest appreciation over the year, rising 3.5 percent and 3.3 percent respectively.

North Dakota is particularly well positioned for price appreciation due to its low unemployment rate of 3.4

percent as of November, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This contrasts the national unemployment rate for the month of November, which was calculated at 8.6 percent. (December unemployment data, released Friday, shows a 0.1 percent drop from November to December.)

North Dakota’s rising population and strong oil and agriculture business also position it well for price appreciation.

The Washington D.C. area is expected to see the next highest price appreciation at 2.9 percent. In addition to favorable employment opportunities, the area is experiencing its lowest housing supply inventory in five years.

In contrast to North Dakota’s low unemployment rate, Bakersfield, California, is experiencing an unemployment rate of 15.1 percent.

Amid continually high foreclosure and delinquency rates, Bakersfield tops Veros’ list of projected price depreciation at 6.8 percent.

Reno-Sparks, Nevada, follows with a projected price depreciation of 5.7 percent.

Between these extremes, Alaska and Hawaii are continuing to see improvement in prices with Honolulu and Anchorage rounding out Veros’ projected list of five strongest markets.

Florida and Arizona markets remain weak but are seeing some improvement.

“Miami is forecast to see flat prices in the next 12 months, which is far better than the 10 percent depreciation of the recent past,” Fox said.

Home Prices Down in 2011, but Market Stability Forecast for 2012   
 
January 2012
 
While year-over-year home price measurements notched down in 2011, prices are expected to see a slight uptick in 2012, according to Clear Capital.
 

Should the valuation company’s predictions ring true, it would be the first time since 2006 that the change in annual home prices has landed in positive territory.

Data released by Clear Capital Monday shows year-over-year, national home prices were down 2.1 percent in 2011. The company says movement in home prices began to stabilize somewhat during the latter half of the year and REO sales as a percentage of total home sales began to decline, which helped to moderate depreciation for the year overall.

In 2012, Clear Capital is forecasting U.S. home prices to show continued stabilization with a slight gain of 0.2 percent across all markets. That would put national home prices near levels not seen since 2001.

“Overall, 2011 was a relatively quiet year for U.S. home prices compared to the last five years,” said Dr. Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics at Clear Capital. “With national prices down a little more than two percent for the year and sitting at their lowest point since 2001, our projections show that the current balance the market has found will continue through 2012.”

According to Clear Capital, the importance of micro-market analysis becomes plainly apparent as the 2012 forecast is for a flat U.S. market, but only 40 percent of individual markets (20 of 50) are projected to be stable.

Individual markets reacting to their local economic drivers will exhibit a wide range of performance levels, Dr. Villacorta explained.

When looking at distinct metro market areas, it turns out only 24 percent showed signs of stabilization in 2011, while the others are still moving more dramatically higher or lower, Villacorta explained.

“What’s most interesting is that the lower segments of appreciating markets are driving much of the current price growth,” Villacorta said. “In places like Florida, which have historically been hard hit, we are now seeing

considerable activity in lower-end properties as demand continues to heat up.”

Clear Capital’s report shows U.S. prices declined 0.4 percent in December on a quarter-over-quarter basis as markets gave back some of the gains of the summer buying season.

December’s quarterly assessment is the first cooling off after six monthly reports from Clear Capital showed minimal quarterly gains. In fact, the company says the most recent six months of the year saw national home prices flat, posting a decline of just 0.1 percent over the second half of 2011.

The 2.1 percent price decline over 2011 marked the smallest year-end change in either direction since the market gained 1.7 percent in 2006, according to Clear Capital.

Regional trends revealed a bit more price variability. The Northeast’s meager 0.1 percent yearly gain led the nation, comparing favorably to declines of 1.3 percent, 3.0 percent, and 4.4 percent turned in by the South, Midwest, and West, respectively.

While changes in prices across the U.S. were mild for 2011, there were notable extremes at the positive and negative sides of the market, Clear Capital says.

Four metros posted price declines greater than 10 percent. Atlanta, Georgia, led the way with 18.3 percent shaved off its home values in 2011, followed by Seattle, Washington, which posted a 15.1 percent annual decline. Birmingham, Alabama, and Detroit, Michigan, also rode the markets down with 11.1 percent and 10.8 percent price drops, respectively.

On the positive side, Dayton, Ohio, enjoyed 11.5 percent annual price growth in 2011. The next two strongest performers came from Florida, with Orlando and Miami laying claim to 6.7 percent and 5.6 percent price gains, respectively.

Each of the markets with double digit declines saw an increase in the percentage of sales that were REOs, while declines in REO saturation helped buoy the top performing markets to positive price growth in 2011.

Nationally, Clear Capital says REO saturation reached a new yearly low at the end of 2011 at 24.8 percent.

Clear Capital expects 2012 to play out much like the last half of 2011, with only a very subtle price change at the national level. A minimal decline in the beginning of the year is expected to turn into a meager gain by year’s end, the company explained.

At a more granular level, half of the 50 major metro markets included in Clear Capital’s study are expected to post gains for the year, with individual metros experiencing the full gamut of price movement, from double-digit growth to double-digit drops.

 
Delinquencies Stubbornly High as Earlier Declines Come to an End
 
January 2012
 

New data released by Lender Processing Services (LPS) shows mortgage delinquencies at the end of November 2011 were nearly 25 percent below their January 2010 peak.

LPS says over that period, the number of noncurrent mortgages was slashed by nearly a quarter simply because fewer borrowers were falling behind on their payments – a trend which dominated 2010 and the first quarter of 2011.

 

Unfortunately, the company says that trend has come to an end. LPS puts the national delinquency rate at 8.15 percent as of the end of November.

The trend toward fewer loans becoming delinquent appears to have halted, according to LPS. At the same time, the company says new problem loans – those loans seriously delinquent as of the end of November that were current six months prior – have not improved significantly in the last year.

“This degree of stagnation indicates that while the situation is not getting markedly worse, it is not improving either, and inventories of troubled loans remain significantly higher than pre-crisis levels across the board,” LPS explained in its November Mortgage Monitor report.

LPS’ mortgage performance data also showed both new and repeat foreclosure starts dropped sharply in November, down nearly 30 percent from the month prior.

As late-stage delinquencies in the pipeline still number close to 2 million, LPS says the sharp drop is more indicative of the impact of ongoing document reviews, additional state legislation, and new regulatory requirements rather than a shift in trend.

 
Freddie Mac Extends Forbearance for Unemployed Homeowners
 
January 2012
 
Freddie Mac announced Friday an extension in forbearance for unemployed borrowers. Some unemployed homeowners may now receive up to 12 months forbearance.
 
the GSE’s portfolio are linked to unemployment.

Previously, servicers could offer up to three months of forbearance without payment on Freddie Mac loans or up

to six months of forbearance with reduced payments without prior approval from the GSE.

Extended forbearance plans were only permitted with prior approval and often only applied to natural disasters or medical emergencies.

Under the new directive, servicers may offer up to six months of forbearance to unemployed homeowners without prior approval, and with prior approval servicers may offer up to six months more totaling a possible one year available in some cases.

“These expanded forbearance periods will provide families facing prolonged periods of unemployment with a greater measure of security by giving them more time to find new employment and resolve their delinquencies.,” said Tracy Mooney, SVP of single-family servicing and REO at Freddie Mac.

“We believe this will put more families back on track to successful long-term homeownership,” Mooney said.

Servicers may evaluate borrowers already in an active forbearance plan to consider extending the terms according to the new directive from Freddie Mac.

Fed Identifies Markets Primed for Bulk REO-to-Rental Programs
 
January 2012
 
The Federal Reserve is throwing its support behind a large-scale REO-to-rental program to address the oversupply of vacant foreclosed homes and prevent property values from falling further
 
In a white paper distributed to key lawmakers on the House and Senate banking committees, the Fed notes that in contrast to the market for owner-occupied homes, the market for rental housing is strengthening.

Because the housing crisis has forced millions of Americans out of their homes, made many others wary of purchasing a home, and constricted credit availability, Fed officials contend there is a long-term need for an expanded stock of rental housing.

“[T]he decline in house prices and the rise in rents suggest that it might be appropriate in some cases to redeploy foreclosed homes as rental properties,” according to the Federal Reserve.

The central bank says a government-facilitated program, in particular, has the potential to not only help the housing market but improve loss recoveries on REO portfolios for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA).

Fed officials point out that one reason large-scale conversions of REOs to rentals have not occurred is because

it can be difficult for an investor to assemble enough geographically proximate properties to achieve efficiencies of scale with regard to the fixed costs of a rental program.

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and FHA together hold about half of the outstanding REO inventory, and Fed officials have identified specific markets with large concentrations of government-owned REOs, where bulk sales to investors make sense.

There are about 60 metropolitan areas that each has at least 250 REO properties currently for sale by the GSEs and FHA.

Atlanta has the largest concentration with about 5,000 units. The next-largest inventories are in Chicago; Detroit; Phoenix; Riverside, California; and Los Angeles, each with between 2,000 and 3,000 government-owned REOs for sale.

The Fed’s whitepaper also points out that the number of properties currently in the foreclosure process is more than four times larger than the number of properties in REO inventory, with similar geographic distribution. If recent trends continue, the share of REO inventory held by the GSEs and FHA should increase, according to Fed officials.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released a request for information in August of last year to solicit ideas from market participants on ways to effectively sell off pools of properties to investors who will employ an REO-to-rental strategy. The agency is currently reviewing more than 4,000 responses.

An interagency group in which the Federal Reserve is participating is considering issues related to the design of a program that would facilitate REO-to-rental conversions.

The Fed’s 26-page whitepaper addresses a host of other issues that could potentially hinder such a program, as well as other facets of today’s housing market that are holding back a recovery.

CFPB Launches Supervision Program for Nonbank Mortgage Companies   
 
January 2012
 
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) now has the authority to oversee nonbank businesses that provide consumers with financial products and services.
 

Within this jurisdiction fall a host of mortgage companies that have largely gone unregulated in the past, including mortgage servicers that are not part of a depository institution, loan modification and foreclosure relief services, loan originators, and mortgage brokers.

With President Obama’s recess appointment of Richard Cordray as CFPB director on Wednesday, the bureau can move forward with expanding its bank supervision program to nonbanks … and officials at the CFPB wasted no time wielding that additional authority.

In a blog post Wednesday afternoon, the CFPB announced the official launch of its nonbank supervisory program.

“By requiring the CFPB to examine nonbanks, the Dodd-Frank Act sought to ensure that consumers get the benefit of federal consumer financial laws on a consistent basis,” according to the CFPB. “This consistent supervisory coverage will help level the playing field for all industry participants to create a fairer marketplace.”

The CFPB has the authority to oversee nonbank mortgage companies no matter their size, and assess whether they are conducting their businesses in compliance with federal consumer financial laws, such as the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA).

Officials say the CFPB’s approach to nonbank examination will be the same as its approach to bank examination.

The bureau released an 800-page manual last October, detailing its examination procedures for both bank and nonbank entities. The guide pays particular attention to reviews of mortgage servicing practices – an area that CFPB officials have repeatedly referenced as a priority for their examiners.

The CFPB says it may also require nonbanks to file certain reports with its office, review consumer-facing marketing material, and inspect compliance systems and procedures as part of its review process.

According to the CFPB, its examiners will “in general” notify a nonbank in advance of an upcoming examination, but that doesn’t completely rule out unannounced visits.

The CFPB says when considering whether and how to supervise particular nonbanks, the bureau will take into account several factors, including the nonbank’s volume of business, types of products or services, and the extent of state oversight.

CFPB officials intend to coordinate with other federal and state regulators in order to allocate resources appropriately and minimize burdens on the nonbanks, the bureau explained.

The CFPB says it would like to maintain an ongoing dialogue about its supervision program and is requesting comments or feedback through its website.

 
OCC Publicizes Independent Foreclosure Reviews
 
Advertisements informing the public about the independent foreclosure reviews underway at 14 servicers hit the presses and the radio airwaves Wednesday.
 

Released by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the advertisements inform the public that those who underwent foreclosure in 2009 and 2010 might be eligible for an independent review if there is reason to believe they suffered financially due to mistakes made by their servicers. 

More than 4 million letters have already been sent to borrowers explaining the process. Borrowers may sign and

return the forms by the end of April to be considered for review.

Those who did not receive a letter may request information and forms by visiting IndependentForeclosureReview.com, or calling 888.952.9105.

The reviews, which were mandated by the OCC in April, “will determine whether individuals suffered financial injury and should receive compensation or other remedies due to errors or other problems during their home foreclosure process,” stated the OCC in a press release Wednesday.

According to the release, those who were protected by bankruptcy, under the protection of the Servicemembers Civil Relief Act, performing according to a modification agreement, and those whose mortgage balances were more than they owed at the time of foreclosure could receive remunerations from their servicers.

Instances in which fees or monthly payments were inaccurately calculated may also require compensation from servicers.

The OCC’s advertisements made their way to the public through 7,000 small newspapers and 6,500 local radio stations.

 
 
CMBS Delinquency Rates Trending Upward: Report
 
 January 2012
 
The delinquency rate among commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) rose in eight of 12 months in 2011, according to a report released Wednesday by Trepp.
 
Most recently, the rate rose seven basis points to 9.58 percent for the month of December. This rate is up from six months ago and one year ago when the rate was 9.37 percent and 9.2 percent, respectively.

Serious delinquencies saw a greater increase over the month of December, rising 18 basis points to 9.06 percent.

As with the overall CMBS delinquency rate, the serious delinquency rate is higher than it was six months ago – 8.33 percent – and one year ago – 8.75 percent.

December’s overall CMBS delinquency increase follows a monthly decrease in November, when delinquencies fell from 9.77 percent to 9.51 percent.

Trepp “view[s] this as the first of a six to twelve month stretch where the rate could increase by 75 basis points in aggregate,” as loans originated in 2007 begin reaching their balloon dates.

Multifamily properties continue to fare worst among major categories of CMBS properties, despite a 61 basis point drop over the month of December. The rate stood at 15.57 percent at the end of the year.
Multifamily delinquencies are also down from one year ago when the rate was 16.48 percent.

Lodging ranked second for delinquency rate at 12.20 percent with industrial properties following closely behind at 12.03 percent.

Industrial properties saw the largest year-over-year increase in delinquencies, rising 3.06 percent from December 2010 to December 2011.

Office and retail properties posted the lowest delinquency rates at 8.97 percent and 7.85 percent, respectively in December. Both experienced gains over the month of December.

However, retail properties are in line with their rate one year ago, which was 7.86 percent.

Office properties are up over the year from 6.93 percent in December 2010.

 
Serious Delinquencies Decline, Foreclosure Rates Steady   
 
January 2012
 
Serious delinquencies are on the decline, while foreclosures have steadied at 5.5 percent, according to recent data from Foreclosure-Response.org, a joint venture of the Local Initiatives Support Corporation, the Urban Institute, and the Center for Housing Policy.

Among the 100 largest metropolitan areas, serious delinquencies – those 90 days or more past due or in foreclosure – declined from 10.4 percent to 9.3 percent from its December 2009 peak to June 2011.

The decline in serious delinquencies can be attributed to a decline in delinquent loans, according to Foreclosure-Response.org, which states delinquencies fell from 5.5 percent at the end of 2009 to 3.7 percent in mid-2011.

Areas experiencing higher rates of serious delinquencies include Florida, California and some areas of New Jersey, the Great Lakes region, and the South.

Areas with lower rates of serious delinquencies include Texas, the Central and Mountain Time zone regions, and some areas of the Pacific Northwest.

Seventeen of the top 25 metros ranked for serious delinquencies and four of the top five are located in Florida.

While serious delinquencies decline, foreclosures have “flat-lined,” according to Foreclosure-Response.org. The foreclosure rate has stayed at about 5.5 percent over the three quarters ending in June.

The two metros experiencing the greatest decline in foreclosures are in California – Riverside (1.9 percent) and Stockton (1.7 percent).

In contrast, metros in Florida, New York, and Illinois are seeing rising foreclosure rates. Tampa saw a 2.8 percent increase from December 2009 to June 2011, while Chicago saw a 2.3 percent increase, and New York saw a 2.1 percent increase.

Foreclosure-Response.org notes that these three states are judicial states, which “can create a significant backlog of foreclosures.”

“The foreclosure inventory that is building up is going to take an incredibly long time for lenders to clear,” said Urban Institute research associate Leah Hendey. “At the current pace of foreclosure sales, we are looking at a process that could take decades to complete.”

“It is critical that the status of these properties be resolved quickly if we want to stabilize communities and housing markets,” Hendey continued.

FHA Waives Anti-Flipping Rule Through Year-End to Speed REO Sales   
 
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) is extending the temporary waiver of its property anti-flipping rule through the end of 2012.
 

FHA rules typically prohibit insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days. In 2010, however, the agency waived this regulation, and later extended the waiver through 2011.

The new extension announced late last week will permit buyers to continue to use FHA-insured financing to purchase HUD-owned and bank-owned properties, no matter how long the homeowner has held the title, through December 31, 2012.

FHA says the waiver will allow homes to resell as quickly as possible, helping to stabilize real estate prices and revitalize communities experiencing high foreclosure activity.

“This extension is intended to accelerate the resale of foreclosed properties in neighborhoods struggling to overcome the possible effects of abandonment and blight,” said Carol Galante, FHA’s Acting Commissioner. “FHA remains a critical source of mortgage financing and

stability and we must make every effort that to promote recovery in every responsible way we can.”

According to FHA, the waiver contains strict conditions and guidelines to prevent predatory property flipping in which properties are quickly resold at inflated prices to unsuspecting borrowers.

Among these conditions, all transactions must be arms-length, with no link between the buying and selling parties.

In addition, in cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller’s acquisition cost, the waiver will apply only if the lender meets specific conditions, and documents the justification for the increase in value.

FHA’s property-flipping waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the agency’s Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program.

Since the original waiver went into effect on February 1, 2010, FHA has insured nearly 42,000 mortgages worth more than $7 billion on properties resold within 90 days of acquisition.

The agency says its own research has found that in today’s market, acquiring, rehabilitating, and reselling foreclosed properties to prospective homeowners often takes less than 90 days.

As a result, FHA says prohibiting the use of its mortgage insurance for a subsequent resale within 90 days would adversely impact the willingness of sellers to consider offers from potential FHA buyers, namely because they would be required to cover holding costs and the risk of vandalism that comes with allowing a property to sit vacant over a 90-day period of time.

 
 

Housing Market Strengthening But Long Road to Recovery Lies Ahead     

The year 2011 is ending on a high note as economists anticipate some signs of recovery ahead. Prices appear to be reaching their trough, visible supply is on the decline, and banks are beginning – just slightly – to loosen lending standards, according to a fourth-quarter report from Capital Economics.

However, Capital Economics warns these positive signs do not point to an immediate recovery.

Taking into account the historic ratio between disposable income and housing prices, homes were undervalued by 23 percent in the third quarter. Homes have not been this undervalued since at least 1975.

Since 2006, prices have declined 33 percent, countering the sharp increases of the boom years. Therefore, “[i]t is

clear that prices don’t need to fall further,” Capital Economics says.

Nondistressed home prices in particular seem to have bottomed out. While home prices declined 4 percent this year, prices of nondistressed homes fell only 0.5 percent.

Having reached the bottom, however, prices will not jump far in the new year. Capital Economics predicts national home prices will remain unchanged over the next two years before seeing positive movement – a 2.5 percent increase – in 2014.

This past year has seen some positive movement in housing inventory with a 20 percent decrease in the number of homes listed for sale over the year. However, supply will remain an obstacle moving forward as the current shadow inventory is estimated at 4 million.

Demand will also continue to be an issue. However, the report notes the market has seen a slight increase in home sales, which it attributes to first-time buyers. 

Banks are contributing to rising demand and supply absorption by allowing loans with loan to value ratios of 80 percent or even slightly higher, something that has not occurred since mid-2008, according to Capital Economics.

The overall economy will not help boost the housing market in the coming year as the U.S. will continue to be affected by the euro-zone crisis.

The rental market will continue to be the best-performing segment of the market.

Input Your Information
* Name
* Email
Phone
Comments

Home Page | Short Sales | Sellers | Real Estate News | MLS Search | Buyers | Home Sales Statistics | Contact | Testimonials | Property Search (Greater Phoenix - Residential) | Short Sale vs Foreclosure | 15 Reasons Why We Should be Your Realtor | Tips To Sell Your Home | For Sale by Owner Real Estate Info | Mortgage Calculator | What's My Home Worth? | New Home Builders Websites | Q & A | Area Info | About | Property Search (Greater Phoenix - Multiple Dwellings) | Property Search (Greater Phoenix - Land)
Site Map | E-Mail

Logo
Geneva Real Estate & Investments
1917 S Signal Butte Rd #101-162 • Mesa, AZ 85209
Phone: (480) 227-5045 •
Fax: (480) 209-1020



Gold CanyonMesa